October 12, 2026·76 min read

Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO), Financial Analysis

Insights derived from analysing SEC filings. Independent analysis, not a publication of the SEC.

Figures are read from the Forms 10-K for FY2022 to FY2026, the latest for the fiscal year ended 25 July 2026, the Forms 10-Q for Q1 FY2025 to Q3 FY2026, the Forms 8-K of August 2022 to October 2026 with their quarterly earnings exhibits 99.1, the proxy statements of October 2024 and October 2025, Schedules 13G, Forms 13F and Forms 3, 4 and 144 on the record for central index key 858877, together with the comparable filings of seven peers and five hyperscalers. Accession numbers for every filing used appear in the Sources appendix. Market prices are closing prices of 9 October 2026.

Cisco (CSCO) closed at $118.39 on 9 October 2026, 35.6x FY2026 diluted GAAP EPS of $3.33 and 29.4x the $4.03 midpoint of FY2027 guidance. Q4 FY2026 revenue rose 17.6% to $17.25bn, AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers (the largest cloud operators) were $9.3bn in FY2026, and inventory purchase commitments rose 125.9% to $17.17bn.

Key findings

  • Q4 FY2026 (quarter ended 25 July 2026) revenue was $17.25bn, up 17.6% year on year; GAAP diluted EPS rose 51.6% to $0.97 and non GAAP EPS 23.2% to $1.22, with GAAP operating margin of 24.7% and non GAAP operating margin of 35.9%.
  • Product orders rose 35% in Q4 FY2026 and 25% excluding hyperscalers; AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers were $4bn in the quarter and $9.3bn in FY2026.
  • FY2027 guidance is revenue of $72.2bn to $73.4bn, 14.0% to 15.9% above FY2026, GAAP EPS of $4.00 to $4.06 and non GAAP EPS of $5.05 to $5.11; Q1 FY2027 non GAAP gross margin is guided at 65% to 66% against 66.3% in Q4 FY2026.
  • Inventory purchase commitments were $17.17bn at 25 July 2026 against $7.60bn a year earlier, inventories rose 80.0% to $5.69bn, and net debt was $13.62bn; FY2026 free cash flow (FCF, operating cash flow less capital expenditure) fell 3.9% to $12.77bn, 20.2% of revenue, and dividends plus repurchases equaled 99.2% of FCF.
  • At $118.39 shares trade at 7.6x enterprise value (EV) to sales, 35.6x price to earnings (P / E) and 36.6x P / FCF, against peer medians of 18.5x, 46.1x on five peers and 45.8x; revenue growth was 11.8% against a peer median of 32.6%.
  • Vanguard Capital Management reported 283.8m shares (7.18%) at 31 March 2026 and BlackRock 358.7m shares (9.10%) at 30 June 2026; the advisory pay vote on 16 December 2025 received 89.0% of votes cast against 77.1% a year earlier; CEO total compensation was $52.84m for FY2025 against $39.20m for FY2024, a pay ratio of 298 to 1.
  • Forms 4 report open market sales of 1.30m shares for $105.78m, 0.03% of shares outstanding, and open market purchases of 0 in the twelve months to 10 October 2026; CEO Charles H. Robbins sold 665,005 shares for $53.44m, 97% of shares sold carry the Rule 10b5-1 box, and 47 Form 144 notices cover 1.58m shares at $127.14m stated market value.
  • Three sets of stated assumptions for FY2028 to FY2030 give arithmetic outcomes of $54, $117 and $241 per share at end FY2030.

Table 0.1 Cisco Systems at a glance

MeasureValueBasis
Share price
$118.39Close, 9 October 2026
Market cap
$466.8bn3.94bn shares, 10-K cover, 27 August 2026
Net debt
$13.62bnDebt $29.53bn less cash and investments $15.92bn, 25 July 2026
EV
$480.4bnMarket cap plus net debt
TTM revenue
$63.33bnTTM (trailing twelve months) equals FY2026, the four quarters to 25 July 2026
TTM revenue growth
11.8%Q4 FY2026: 17.6%
Operating margin, FY2026
24.3% GAAP; 34.8% non GAAPNon GAAP as reported by the company
TTM FCF margin
20.2%FCF of $12.77bn
Remaining performance obligations (RPO)
$46.73bn25 July 2026; 49% due within 12 months
Inventory purchase commitments
$17.17bn25 July 2026; $7.60bn a year earlier
EV / sales
7.6xTTM revenue; peer median 18.5x
P / E
35.6xTTM diluted GAAP EPS of $3.33; peer median 46.1x on five peers
P / FCF
36.6xMarket cap over TTM FCF; peer median 45.8x
Diluted shares
3.99bnFY2026 weighted average
Insider open market sales
$105.78m1.30m shares on Forms 4, twelve months to 10 October 2026; purchases 0
Form 144 notices
$127.14mStated market value of 1.58m shares in 47 notices, twelve months to 10 October 2026
CEO total compensation, FY2025
$52.84mFY2024 $39.20m; pay ratio 298 to 1

Source: 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026, DEF 14A filed 28 October 2025, Forms 4 and 144 in Tables 7.2 and 7.5; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026

1 Revenue & Business Model

Cisco revenue was $17.25bn in Q4 FY2026, up 17.6% year on year, and $63.33bn in FY2026, up 11.8% (FY2026 10-K). Networking product revenue rose 28.3% in Q4 FY2026 to $9.79bn and services revenue rose 0.2% to $3.79bn.

Cisco business model and revenue model

Cisco sells networking, security, collaboration and observability products as hardware, software licenses and software as a service (SaaS), plus technical support and professional services. Hardware and perpetual licenses are recognized when control transfers; software maintenance, SaaS and services are recognized over the contract term.

Table 1.1 Cisco business model as filed

ElementFiled fact
Reportable segments3 geographic segments: Americas; Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA); Asia Pacific, Japan and China (APJC); each is measured on revenue and gross margin
Product categoriesNetworking (switching, routing, wireless, servers, Acacia optics, systems built on Cisco Silicon One); Security; Collaboration (Webex); Observability (Splunk Observability, AppDynamics, ThousandEyes)
ServicesTechnical support and professional services; 23.7% of FY2026 revenue
Subscription revenueTerm software licenses, security software licenses, SaaS and associated service arrangements; $31.98bn, 50.5% of FY2026 revenue
Software revenue$23.2bn in FY2026 across all product areas and services, up 4%
Customer marketsEnterprise; public sector; service provider and cloud, which includes carriers and hyperscalers
Sales channelsA substantial portion of sales goes through channel partners (systems integrators, service providers, resellers, distributors) and the remainder is direct; about 25,400 sales and marketing employees
Payment and financingStandard payment terms are typically 30 days; Cisco Capital provides loans, leases and channel financing; channel partner financing volume was $29.9bn in FY2026
ManufacturingContract manufacturers perform circuit board assembly, test, repair and product assembly under arrangements renewed as needed; certain components come from limited or single sources
AcquisitionsSplunk acquired on 18 March 2024 for about $27bn in cash at $157 per share; acquisitions completed in FY2026 totaled $550m of purchase consideration
EmployeesAbout 82,400 at 25 July 2026
Category definitions4 product categories since the FY2024 10-K, which recast FY2022 and FY2023; the FY2023 10-K reported 6 product categories

Source: FY2026 10-K, Items 1 and 7, Notes 3, 4, 13 and 18, cover; FY2024 10-K; FY2023 10-K; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco revenue by product category and region

Figure 1.1 Cisco revenue by product category and services, FY2022 to FY2026

Networking added $6.36bn of the $6.67bn FY2026 revenue increase. Security rose 59.5% in FY2025, the first full year with Splunk, and 1.7% in FY2026.

Table 1.2 Cisco revenue by product category and services, FY2022 to FY2026

$bnFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Networking
29.2734.5729.2328.3034.67
Security
3.703.865.088.098.23
Collaboration
4.474.054.114.154.30
Observability
0.580.660.841.061.10
Total product
38.0243.1439.2541.6148.30
Services
13.5413.8614.5515.0515.03
Total revenue
51.5657.0053.8056.6563.33
Networking share
56.8%60.7%54.3%50.0%54.7%
Security share
7.2%6.8%9.4%14.3%13.0%
Services share
26.3%24.3%27.0%26.6%23.7%
Total growth (FY2021 base year had 53 weeks)
3.5%10.6%(5.6)%5.3%11.8%

Source: FY2026 10-K, Note 18 (FY2024 to FY2026); FY2024 10-K (FY2022, FY2023); FY2023 10-K (FY2021 base for FY2022 growth); shares and growth are derived; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 1.2 Cisco revenue by geographic segment, FY2022 to FY2026

FY2026 growth by geographic segment ranged from 9.1% in APJC to 12.3% in Americas, and United States revenue was 54.3% of the total.

Table 1.3 Cisco revenue by geographic segment, FY2022 to FY2026

$bnFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Americas
29.8133.4531.9733.6637.80
EMEA
13.7215.1414.1214.8216.61
APJC
8.038.427.728.178.91
United States, within Americas
26.729.928.730.434.4
Americas share
57.8%58.7%59.4%59.4%59.7%
EMEA share
26.6%26.6%26.2%26.2%26.2%
APJC share
15.6%14.8%14.3%14.4%14.1%
United States share
51.8%52.5%53.3%53.7%54.3%
Americas growth
2.2%12.2%(4.4)%5.3%12.3%
EMEA growth
5.9%10.4%(6.7)%5.0%12.1%
APJC growth
4.2%4.9%(8.3)%5.9%9.1%

Source: FY2026 10-K, Note 18 (FY2024 to FY2026); FY2024 10-K (FY2022, FY2023); FY2023 10-K (FY2021 base for FY2022 growth); United States revenue is filed in $bn to one decimal; shares and growth are derived; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 1.3 Cisco quarterly revenue by type and growth, Q3 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026

Table 1.4 Cisco quarterly revenue by product category, services and geographic segment, Q3 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026

$bnQ3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Q4 FY2026
Networking
7.077.637.778.298.829.79
Security
2.011.951.982.022.012.23
Collaboration
1.031.041.061.051.021.17
Observability
0.260.260.270.280.270.28
Total product
10.3710.8911.0811.6412.1213.46
Services
3.783.793.813.713.723.79
Total revenue
14.1514.6714.8815.3515.8417.25
Americas
8.388.828.998.859.5710.40
EMEA
3.743.653.784.434.054.35
APJC
2.032.212.112.082.222.51
Total growth, year on year
11.4%7.6%7.5%9.7%12.0%17.6%
Product growth
15.0%10.4%9.5%13.8%16.8%23.6%
Networking growth
8.4%12.2%15.0%21.1%24.7%28.3%
Security growth
54.4%9.2%(1.8)%(4.4)%(0.2)%14.0%
Services growth
2.6%0.1%2.1%(1.3)%(1.4)%0.2%

Source: Q3 FY2025 10-Q, Q1 FY2026 10-Q, Q2 FY2026 10-Q, Q3 FY2026 10-Q, FY2025 10-K, FY2026 10-K; Q4 equals fiscal year less nine months; growth derived; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco customer concentration and AI infrastructure orders

Table 1.5 Cisco customer concentration and AI infrastructure demand as filed

ItemFiled fact
Customers at 10% or more of revenue, FY20261: a global channel partner, unnamed in the 10-K, at about 11% of total revenue
Customers at 10% or more of revenue, FY2025 and FY20240
Accounts receivable concentration, 25 July 2026A global channel partner at about 15% of accounts receivable of $7.47bn
AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscaler customersAbout 6% of FY2026 revenue; less than 2% in FY2025 (10-K, Item 7)
AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers$4bn in Q4 FY2026 and $9.3bn in FY2026 (8-K)
AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalersAbout $4bn in FY2026; company expectation for FY2027 is $7.5bn (8-K)
Product orders, Q4 FY2026Total up 35% year on year and up 25% excluding hyperscalers; Networking orders up 40% (8-K)
Concentration risk as stated in Item 1ASales to the service provider and cloud market may be concentrated among a limited number of customers

Source: FY2026 10-K, Items 1A and 7, Notes 3 and 18; 8-K of 12 August 2026, Exhibit 99.1; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco RPO, deferred revenue and purchase commitments

Figure 1.4 Cisco RPO, deferred revenue and inventory purchase commitments, FY2022 to FY2026

Inventory purchase commitments rose 125.9% to $17.17bn in FY2026, which the 10-K attributes mainly to Cisco Silicon One manufacturing for hyperscalers and other customers and to memory supply agreements. RPO rose 7.4% to $46.73bn.

Table 1.6 Cisco subscription revenue, RPO, deferred revenue and inventory purchase commitments, FY2022 to FY2026

$bn at fiscal year endFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Subscription revenue, fiscal year
22.3924.6427.3831.5331.98
Subscription share of revenue
43.4%43.2%50.9%55.6%50.5%
RPO
31.5434.8741.0543.5346.73
Product RPO
14.0915.8020.0621.5723.44
Services RPO
17.4519.0720.9921.9623.30
Deferred revenue
23.2625.5528.4828.7829.78
Unbilled contract revenue
8.289.3212.5714.7516.95
Inventory purchase commitments
12.967.255.167.6017.17
RPO due within 12 months
54%51%51%50%49%
RPO growth
2.1%10.6%17.7%6.1%7.4%

Source: FY2026 10-K, Notes 3, 7 and 13; FY2025 10-K; FY2024 10-K; FY2023 10-K; RPO equals deferred revenue plus unbilled contract revenue; shares and growth are derived; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 1.7 Cisco quarterly RPO, deferred revenue, inventory purchase commitments and subscription revenue, Q3 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026

$bn at quarter endQ3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Q4 FY2026
RPO
41.6743.5342.8743.4143.4646.73
Deferred revenue
27.9928.7827.9728.4028.6029.78
Inventory purchase commitments
6.357.608.3210.0616.0317.17
Subscription revenue, quarter
7.927.908.007.847.798.35

Source: Q3 FY2025 10-Q, Q1 FY2026 10-Q, Q2 FY2026 10-Q, Q3 FY2026 10-Q, FY2026 10-K; Q4 subscription revenue equals fiscal year less nine months; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

2 Financial Analysis & Ratios

Q4 FY2026 diluted EPS rose 51.6% to $0.97 on revenue up 17.6%; pretax income included $869m of investment gains and a $511m restructuring charge (8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026). FY2026 operating margin rose to 24.3% from 20.8% (10-K FY2026).

Cisco Q4 FY2026 and FY2026 results year on year

Table 2.1 What changed, Q4 FY2026 and FY2026 against prior year

MetricQ4 FY2026Q4 FY2025ChangeFY2026FY2025Change
Revenue, $bn
17.2514.6717.6%63.3356.6511.8%
Gross profit, $bn
11.069.2819.2%40.8636.7911.1%
Operating expenses, $bn
6.806.199.8%25.4925.031.8%
Restructuring and other charges, $m
511351,360.0%693744(6.9)%
Operating income, $bn
4.263.0938.1%15.3711.7630.7%
Non GAAP operating income, $bn
6.205.0323.2%22.0419.4913.1%
Other income (loss), net, $bn
0.820.051,450.9%1.25(0.07)n/a
Net income, $bn
3.862.5551.3%13.2710.1830.3%
Non GAAP net income, $bn
4.873.9523.2%17.2515.2113.4%
Diluted EPS, $
0.970.6451.6%3.332.5530.6%
Non GAAP diluted EPS, $
1.220.9923.2%4.333.8113.6%
Gross margin
64.1%63.2%0.9 pts64.5%64.9%(0.4) pts
Product gross margin
62.6%61.5%1.1 pts63.2%63.7%(0.5) pts
Services gross margin
69.4%68.3%1.1 pts68.8%68.5%0.3 pts
Non GAAP gross margin
66.3%68.4%(2.1) pts66.9%68.7%(1.8) pts
Operating margin
24.7%21.0%3.7 pts24.3%20.8%3.5 pts
Non GAAP operating margin
35.9%34.3%1.6 pts34.8%34.4%0.4 pts
Net margin
22.4%17.4%5.0 pts21.0%18.0%3.0 pts
Effective tax rate
21.8%15.0%6.8 pts17.1%8.3%8.8 pts
Operating cash flow, $bn
5.394.2327.2%14.1814.19(0.1)%
Capital expenditure, $bn
0.390.2279.7%1.410.9155.8%
FCF, $bn
5.004.0224.4%12.7713.29(3.9)%
FCF margin
29.0%27.4%1.6 pts20.2%23.5%(3.3) pts
Share based compensation (SBC), $bn
0.930.95(2.2)%3.833.645.2%
SBC as % of revenue
5.4%6.5%(1.1) pts6.0%6.4%(0.4) pts
Dividends paid, $bn
1.661.632.1%6.556.441.8%
Share repurchases, $bn
1.501.2519.9%6.116.001.8%
Diluted shares, bn
3.9843.992(0.2)%3.9873.998(0.3)%

Source: 10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 10-K FY2025, 10-Q Q3 FY2025, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 2.1 Quarterly revenue by product and services with operating margin, Q1 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026

Cisco gross margin, inventory and quarterly financials

FY2026 product gross margin fell 0.5 points to 63.2%. FY2026 10-K assigns (3.6) points to product mix from higher Networking revenue and states that higher memory costs reduced productivity gains.

Figure 2.2 Product gross margin change by factor as filed, FY2025 to FY2026

Table 2.2 Quarterly financials, Q1 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026

LineQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Q4 FY2026
Revenue, $bn
13.8413.9914.1514.6714.8815.3515.8417.25
Revenue growth year on year
(5.6)%9.4%11.4%7.6%7.5%9.7%12.0%17.6%
Gross margin
65.9%65.1%65.6%63.2%65.5%65.0%63.6%64.1%
Product gross margin
65.1%63.7%64.4%61.5%64.5%63.9%61.9%62.6%
Services gross margin
68.0%68.9%68.7%68.3%68.4%68.4%69.2%69.4%
Non GAAP gross margin
69.3%68.7%68.6%68.4%68.1%67.5%66.0%66.3%
Research and development, $bn
2.292.302.342.382.402.362.382.43
Sales and marketing, $bn
2.752.672.722.822.872.882.862.95
General and administrative, $m
795752739706733688661679
Restructuring and other charges, $m
66510343514736(1)511
Operating income, $bn
2.363.113.203.093.363.783.964.26
Operating margin
17.0%22.3%22.6%21.0%22.6%24.6%25.0%24.7%
Non GAAP operating margin
34.1%34.7%34.5%34.3%34.4%34.6%34.2%35.9%
Interest expense, $m
418404403368350370377373
Other income (loss), net, $m
41(60)(102)5315625242822
Net income, $bn
2.712.432.492.552.863.183.373.86
Effective tax rate
(19.6)%15.9%15.5%15.0%15.7%12.9%16.5%21.8%
Diluted EPS, $
0.680.610.620.640.720.800.850.97
Non GAAP diluted EPS, $
0.910.940.960.991.001.041.061.22
Operating cash flow, $bn
3.662.244.064.233.211.823.765.39
Capital expenditure, $m
217210261217323283414390
FCF, $bn
3.442.033.804.022.891.543.345.00
SBC, $bn
0.830.920.950.951.060.930.910.93
Dividends paid, $bn
1.591.591.631.631.621.621.661.66
Share repurchases, $bn
2.001.241.511.251.991.361.251.50
Cash and investments, $bn
18.6716.8515.6416.1115.7415.7816.6415.92
Total debt, $bn
31.9931.0429.2828.0928.0930.0931.3029.53
Commercial paper, $bn
11.8710.924.173.483.485.478.436.66
Accounts receivable, $bn
4.465.675.286.704.836.616.487.47
Inventory, $bn
3.142.932.833.163.403.924.715.69
Inventory days: quarter end inventory over product cost of sales times 91
81727069798593103
Equity, $bn
45.2845.5345.9446.8446.8747.7248.8650.29
Diluted shares, bn
4.0134.0054.0023.9923.9933.9843.9823.984

Source: 10-Q Q1 FY2025, 10-Q Q2 FY2025, 10-Q Q3 FY2025, 10-K FY2025, 10-Q Q1 FY2026, 10-Q Q2 FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 10-K FY2026, 10-K FY2024; 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 November 2025, 11 February 2026, 13 May 2026, 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Inventory was $5.69bn at 25 July 2026, 117 days of product cost of sales against 76 days a year earlier.

Figure 2.3 Inventory, inventory purchase commitments and inventory days at quarter end

Cisco income statement, cash flow, balance sheet and ratio analysis

Table 2.3 Income statement, cash flow and balance sheet, FY2022 to FY2026

LineFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Revenue, $bn
51.5657.0053.8056.6563.33
Gross profit, $bn
32.2535.7534.8336.7940.86
Research and development, $bn
6.777.557.989.309.56
Sales and marketing, $bn
9.099.8810.3610.9711.56
General and administrative, $bn
2.102.482.812.992.76
Amortization of purchased intangible assets, cost of sales and operating expenses, $bn
1.080.931.652.201.86
Restructuring and other charges, $m
6531789744693
Operating income, $bn
13.9715.0312.1811.7615.37
Non GAAP operating income, $bn
17.3519.0718.3819.4922.04
Interest income, $bn
0.480.961.371.000.87
Interest expense, $bn
0.360.431.011.591.47
Other income (loss), net, $bn
0.39(0.25)(0.31)(0.07)1.25
Income tax, $bn
2.672.711.910.922.74
Net income, $bn
11.8112.6110.3210.1813.27
Diluted EPS, $
2.823.072.542.553.33
Non GAAP diluted EPS, $
3.363.893.733.814.33
Dividends declared per share, $
1.501.541.581.621.66
Operating cash flow, $bn
13.2319.8910.8814.1914.18
Capital expenditure, $bn
0.480.850.670.911.41
FCF, $bn
12.7519.0410.2113.2912.77
SBC, $bn
1.892.353.073.643.83
Acquisitions, net of cash acquired, $bn
0.370.3025.990.290.52
Debt issued, $bn
1.050.0031.8219.2913.05
Debt repaid, $bn
3.550.509.8322.0712.25
Dividends paid, $bn
6.226.306.386.446.55
Share repurchases, $bn
7.694.295.796.006.11
Cash and investments, $bn
19.2726.1517.8516.1115.92
Accounts receivable, $bn
6.625.856.696.707.47
Inventory, $bn
2.573.643.373.165.69
Goodwill, $bn
38.3038.5458.6659.1459.48
Purchased intangible assets, $bn
2.571.8211.229.187.56
Total assets, $bn
94.00101.85124.41122.29129.64
Short term debt, $bn
1.101.7311.345.2310.16
Commercial paper within short term debt, $bn
0.600.0010.853.486.66
Long term debt, $bn
8.426.6619.6222.8619.37
Total liabilities, $bn
54.2357.5078.9675.4579.35
Equity, $bn
39.7744.3545.4646.8450.29
Diluted shares, bn
4.1924.1054.0623.9983.987

Source: 10-K FY2022, 10-K FY2023, 10-K FY2024, 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026; 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 17 August 2022, 14 August 2024, 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 2.4 Ratios, FY2022 to FY2026

RatioFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026
Gross margin
62.5%62.7%64.7%64.9%64.5%
Product gross margin
61.0%61.5%63.5%63.7%63.2%
Services gross margin
66.8%66.4%68.1%68.5%68.8%
Non GAAP gross margin
64.6%64.5%67.5%68.7%66.9%
Operating margin
27.1%26.4%22.6%20.8%24.3%
Non GAAP operating margin
33.6%33.5%34.2%34.4%34.8%
Net margin
22.9%22.1%19.2%18.0%21.0%
FCF margin
24.7%33.4%19.0%23.5%20.2%
SBC as % of revenue
3.7%4.1%5.7%6.4%6.0%
Research and development as % of revenue
13.1%13.2%14.8%16.4%15.1%
Operating expenses as % of revenue
35.5%36.4%42.1%44.2%40.3%
Amortization of purchased intangible assets as % of revenue
2.1%1.6%3.1%3.9%2.9%
Effective tax rate
18.4%17.7%15.6%8.3%17.1%
ROE (return on equity): net income over average equity
29.1%30.0%23.0%22.1%27.3%
ROIC (return on invested capital): operating income taxed at 21% over average debt plus equity
21.6%23.3%14.9%12.3%15.7%
ROA (return on assets): net income over average assets
12.3%12.9%9.1%8.3%10.5%
Current ratio
1.43x1.38x0.91x1.00x0.93x
Debt to equity
0.24x0.19x0.68x0.60x0.59x
Total debt, $bn
9.528.3930.9628.0929.53
Net cash or (net debt): cash and investments less total debt, $bn
9.7517.76(13.11)(11.98)(13.62)
Interest cover: operating income over interest expense
38.8x35.2x12.1x7.4x10.5x
DSO (days sales outstanding): year end receivables over revenue times 365
4737454343
Inventory days: year end inventory over product cost of sales times 365
63808676117
Inventory turns: product cost of sales over average inventory
7.18x5.34x4.09x4.63x4.01x
Inventory plus purchase commitments over product cost of sales
1.05x0.66x0.59x0.71x1.29x
Asset turnover: revenue over average assets
0.54x0.58x0.48x0.46x0.50x
Capital expenditure as % of revenue
0.9%1.5%1.2%1.6%2.2%
Goodwill and purchased intangible assets as % of total assets
43.5%39.6%56.2%55.9%51.7%
FCF per diluted share, $
3.044.642.513.323.20
Dividends paid as % of FCF
48.8%33.1%62.5%48.4%51.3%
Share repurchases as % of FCF
60.3%22.6%56.7%45.2%47.8%
Dividends and repurchases as % of FCF
109.1%55.7%119.2%93.6%99.2%
Deferred revenue growth
5.0%9.8%11.4%1.1%3.5%

Source: 10-K FY2022, 10-K FY2023, 10-K FY2024, 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026; 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 17 August 2022, 14 August 2024, 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

FY2026 FCF fell 3.9% to $12.77bn: inventory absorbed $2.54bn of operating cash flow and capital expenditure rose 55.8% to $1.41bn. Net debt of $13.62bn includes $6.66bn of commercial paper.

Figure 2.4 Free cash flow, dividends, share repurchases and net cash or debt, FY2022 to FY2026

Cisco GAAP and non GAAP earnings

FY2026 non GAAP diluted EPS rose 13.6% to $4.33 against 30.6% for GAAP diluted EPS. FY2025 GAAP earnings included a $720m tax benefit and FY2026 GAAP earnings $1.40bn of investment gains.

Table 2.5 GAAP to non GAAP net income, $bn, and non GAAP effective tax rate

LineQ4 FY2026Q4 FY2025FY2026FY2025
GAAP net income
3.8592.55013.26710.180
Share based compensation expense
0.8890.9473.7703.603
Amortization of acquisition related intangible assets
0.4620.4881.8342.179
Acquisition and divestiture related costs
0.0720.1170.3750.857
Legal and indemnification settlements and charges
0.0000.3550.0000.355
Supplier component remediation adjustment
0.0000.0000.000(0.007)
Significant asset impairments and restructurings
0.5110.0350.6930.744
(Gains) and losses on investments
(0.869)(0.115)(1.398)(0.187)
Income tax effect of non GAAP adjustments
(0.386)(0.426)(1.490)(1.682)
Significant tax matters
0.3300.0000.198(0.829)
Non GAAP net income
4.8683.95117.24915.213
Non GAAP effective tax rate
18.8%18.1%19.0%18.4%

Source: 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 2.6 One off items in GAAP results, FY2025 and FY2026

PeriodItemCharge or (gain)
FY2026
Net gains on non marketable equity securities in other income($1.41bn)
Q4 FY2026
Charges under the restructuring plan announced 13 May 2026, with total pretax charges estimated at up to $1bn$511m
FY2026
Increase in valuation allowance on deferred tax assets, mainly California$0.5bn
FY2025
Tax benefit from a US Tax Court opinion on deemed foreign dividends($720m)

Source: 10-K FY2026, 10-K FY2025; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

3 MD&A & Management Commentary

Cisco guides FY2027 revenue of $72.2bn to $73.4bn, 14.0% to 15.9% above FY2026 revenue of $63.33bn, and non GAAP EPS of $5.05 to $5.11 against $4.33 (8-K, 12 August 2026). Q4 FY2026 revenue was 2.7% above the guidance midpoint and non GAAP EPS of $1.22 was $0.04 above the top of the guided range.

Cisco guidance against actual results

Revenue exceeded the top of the guided range in 5 of the last 6 quarters and non GAAP EPS in 6 of 6. Non GAAP gross margin guidance stepped down from 67.5% to 68.5% for Q2 FY2026 to 65% to 66% for Q1 FY2027.

Table 3.1 Quarterly guidance against actual, Q3 FY2025 to Q4 FY2026 (revenue in $bn, EPS in $, margins non GAAP)

QuarterGuided onRevenue guidanceRevenue actualActual against midpointEPS guidanceEPS actualGross margin guidanceGross margin actualOperating margin guidanceOperating margin actual
Q4 FY2026
13 May 202616.7 to 16.917.252.7%1.16 to 1.181.2265.5% to 66.5%66.3%34% to 35%35.9%
Q3 FY2026
11 Feb 202615.4 to 15.615.842.2%1.02 to 1.041.0665.5% to 66.5%66.0%33.5% to 34.5%34.2%
Q2 FY2026
12 Nov 202515.0 to 15.215.351.6%1.01 to 1.031.0467.5% to 68.5%67.5%33.5% to 34.5%34.6%
Q1 FY2026
13 Aug 202514.65 to 14.8514.880.9%0.97 to 0.991.0067.5% to 68.5%68.1%33% to 34%34.4%
Q4 FY2025
14 May 202514.5 to 14.714.670.5%0.96 to 0.980.9967.5% to 68.5%68.4%33.5% to 34.5%34.3%
Q3 FY2025
12 Feb 202513.9 to 14.114.151.1%0.90 to 0.920.9667% to 68%68.6%33% to 34%34.5%

Source: Exhibit 99.1 of 8-K, 12 August 2026, 8-K, 13 May 2026, 8-K, 11 February 2026, 8-K, 12 November 2025, 8-K, 13 August 2025, 8-K, 14 May 2025, 8-K, 12 February 2025; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 3.1 Quarterly revenue guidance range against actual, Q3 FY2025 to Q1 FY2027

Cisco FY2027 guidance and FY2026 guidance changes

FY2026 revenue was 6.4% and non GAAP EPS 7.4% above the midpoints first guided on 13 August 2025, after three increases during the year.

Table 3.2 Full year and next quarter guidance in order of issue

FilingPeriodRevenueNon GAAP EPSGAAP EPSWhat management said
FY2027$72.2bn to $73.4bn$5.05 to $5.11$4.00 to $4.06Guidance assumes tax rates of about 14.5% GAAP and 18.5% non GAAP and $0.11 per share of restructuring charges. Company expects $7.5bn of AI infrastructure revenue from hyperscalers in FY2027 against about $4bn in FY2026; derived: guidance midpoint less that amount is $65.3bn, 10.1% above the $59.3bn FY2026 equivalent.
Q1 FY2027$18.0bn to $18.2bn$1.32 to $1.34$1.08 to $1.10Revenue range is 20.9% to 22.3% above Q1 FY2026 revenue of $14.88bn. Non GAAP gross margin 65% to 66%, non GAAP operating margin 35.5% to 36.5%.
FY2026 actual$63.33bn$4.33$3.33Revenue 6.4% and non GAAP EPS 7.4% above the midpoints first guided on 13 August 2025. GAAP EPS includes $1.40bn of pretax investment gains that non GAAP EPS excludes.
FY2026$62.8bn to $63.0bn$4.27 to $4.29$3.16 to $3.21Third increase of FY2026 guidance; expected FY2026 AI infrastructure orders raised to $9bn from $5bn and revenue to $4bn from $3bn.
FY2026$61.2bn to $61.7bn$4.13 to $4.17$3.00 to $3.08Second increase of FY2026 guidance; Q3 FY2026 non GAAP gross margin guided at 65.5% to 66.5%, 2 points below the Q2 FY2026 range.
FY2026$60.2bn to $61.0bn$4.08 to $4.14$2.87 to $2.98First increase of FY2026 guidance; margin and EPS guidance stated to include the estimated effect of tariffs under current trade policy.
FY2026$59.0bn to $60.0bn$4.00 to $4.06$2.79 to $2.91Initial FY2026 guidance was issued with FY2025 results.

Source: Exhibit 99.1 of each 8-K linked in the first column; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 3.2 FY2026 guidance range at each update against actual

Cisco product orders by customer market

Table 3.3 Product orders growth year on year and hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders, as stated by management

MeasureQ2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Q4 FY2026
Total product orders
18%35%35%
Excluding hyperscalers
10%19%25%
Enterprise
8%18%21%
Public sector
11%27%30%
Service provider and cloud
65%105%95%
Americas
23%35%44%
EMEA
11%39%25%
APJC
15%25%19%
Networking product orders
more than 20%more than 50%40%
Hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders
$2.1bn$1.9bn$4.0bn

Source: Earnings calls, 11 February 2026, 13 May 2026 and 12 August 2026; total product orders also in 8-K, 11 February 2026, 8-K, 13 May 2026 and 8-K, 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io for the 8-K figures

Figure 3.3 Product orders growth by customer market, Q2 to Q4 FY2026

In Q4 FY2026 non GAAP gross margin was 66.3%, 2.1 points below Q4 FY2025, and non GAAP operating margin was 35.9%, 1.6 points above. FY2026 operating cash flow was flat at $14.18bn while net income rose 30.3% to $13.27bn.

Table 3.4 Trends and risks named by management, with source and date

TopicWhat management statesSource and date
AI demand
On AI infrastructure demand from hyperscalers: "We expect this demand to remain a significant driver of our results in fiscal 2027".FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
AI demand
The CEO said four of the largest hyperscalers each grew AI infrastructure orders at triple digit rates, FY2026 orders were about 60% Silicon One based systems and 40% optics, and AI orders from neocloud, sovereign and enterprise customers passed $1bn in FY2026.Earnings call, 12 August 2026
Customer concentration
Hyperscalers or other large customers may change orders or buying patterns with limited advance notice, and part of the prepayments and deposits with suppliers may then be unrecoverable.FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Supply and memory
Supplier deposits and prepayments were $1.10bn at 25 July 2026. "We expect our inventory balances may increase in future quarters as we work to fulfill this demand."FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Supply and memory
The CFO said silicon supply was secured through calendar 2026.Earnings call, 13 May 2026
Gross margin
Americas segment gross margin fell from 68.2% in FY2025 to 65.1% in FY2026; Figure 2.2 gives the product gross margin factors.FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Pricing
The CFO said price increases contributed about 4 to 5 points to the acceleration in product order growth outside hyperscalers in Q3 FY2026.Earnings call, 13 May 2026
Tariffs
Exposure to new and proposed tariffs: "the extent of such exposure is uncertain but could be significant".FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Tariffs
After the US Supreme Court ruling of 20 February 2026 on tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, Cisco states it may be eligible for refunds; benefit recorded: $0.Q3 FY2026 10-Q, Item 2, 19 May 2026
Restructuring
The May 2026 plan is to be substantially complete by the end of FY2027; "the overall cost savings from these restructuring plans are not expected to be material".FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
GAAP EPS as released and as filed
Q4 FY2025 GAAP EPS was released at $0.71 on 13 August 2025 and filed at $0.64 after a supplier settlement on 26 August 2025.8-K, 13 August 2025; FY2025 10-K, Item 7, 3 September 2025
Cash flow
FY2026 operating cash flow of $14.18bn came after a final US transition tax payment of $2.3bn and higher supplier payments.FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Capital return
Stated target: return at least 50% of FCF to stockholders each year.FY2026 10-K, Item 7, 2 September 2026
Leadership
Mark Patterson is quoted as CFO from the 13 August 2025 release; Scott Herren was quoted as CFO on 14 May 2025.8-K, 13 August 2025; 8-K, 14 May 2025

Source: filings linked in the third column, SEC filings via SEC-API.io; earnings call rows are management statements on the dates shown

4 Sector & Competitor Analysis

Cisco revenue growth of 11.8% in FY2026 is the lowest of eight networking and security companies, against a peer median of 32.6%; Q4 FY2026 growth was 17.6%. Shares trade at 7.6x EV / sales against a peer median of 18.5x (Market data, 9 October 2026).

AI data center capital spending by hyperscalers

Five hyperscalers spent $586.4bn on property and equipment in their latest twelve months; spending in their latest fiscal years was $464.6bn, up 79.7%.

Figure 4.1 Purchases of property and equipment by five hyperscalers

Table 4.1 Purchases of property and equipment by five hyperscalers

CompanyLatest fiscal yearCapital expenditurePrior yearGrowthTTM capital expenditureTTM to
Amazon
FY to 31 Dec 2025$131.8bn$83.0bn58.8%$173.0bn30 Jun 2026
Alphabet
FY to 31 Dec 2025$91.4bn$52.5bn74.1%$132.4bn30 Jun 2026
Microsoft
FY to 30 Jun 2026$115.9bn$64.6bn79.6%$115.9bn30 Jun 2026
Meta
FY to 31 Dec 2025$69.7bn$37.3bn87.1%$89.3bn30 Jun 2026
Oracle
FY to 31 May 2026$55.7bn$21.2bn162.4%$75.7bn31 Aug 2026
Total
$464.6bn$258.6bn79.7%$586.4bn

Source: Amazon 10-K 0001018724-26-000004, Amazon 10-Q 0001018724-26-000026, Alphabet 10-K 0001652044-26-000018, Alphabet 10-Q 0001652044-26-000071, Microsoft 10-K 0001193125-26-323660, Meta 10-K 0001628280-26-003942, Meta 10-Q 0001628280-26-050705, Oracle 10-K 0001193125-26-277521, Oracle 10-Q 0001193125-26-389274; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Ethernet switch, router and network security market size

IDC puts Q2 2026 Ethernet switch revenue at $18.9bn, up 43.4%, with Cisco at a 28.7% share of the total and 18.2% of the data center segment.

Table 4.2 Named research on networking and security markets

SourceDateFinding
11 Sep 2026Market $18.9bn, up 43.4% year on year; data center $12.3bn, up 64.5%; campus and branch $6.6bn, up 15.7%
Same IDC release
11 Sep 2026Cisco Ethernet switch revenue $5.4bn, up 36.2%, a 28.7% share; data center share: NVIDIA 20.4%, Arista 18.7%, Cisco 18.2%
Same IDC release
11 Sep 2026Router market $4.5bn, up 22.8%; Cisco $1.6bn, up 31.6%, a 34.7% share; Huawei 29.9%; Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) 10.7%
19 Mar 20262025 market $10.5bn, up 11.4%; Cisco $3.9bn, up 4.9%, a 37.2% share; HPE 19.7%
5 Oct 20262026 information security spending $247.5bn, up 13.6%; network security $27.0bn; firewall equipment $19.7bn
8 Sep 2026Campus switch average selling price up 19%; Cisco, Arista, Ubiquiti and Extreme gained share year on year

Source: IDC, Gartner and Dell'Oro Group publications linked in the table

Cisco versus Arista, HPE, Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Broadcom, NVIDIA and Ciena

Peers are seven US listed companies named as competitors in the 10-K. Cisco operating margin of 24.3% and ROIC of 15.7% compare with peer medians of 32.4% and 22.8%.

Figure 4.2 Revenue growth and operating margin of Cisco and seven peers

Table 4.3 Operating comparison, latest twelve months reported by each filer

CompanyPeriodRevenueGrowthGross marginOperating marginFCF marginSBC % of revenueR&D % of revenueInventory days on total cost of revenueROICRPO
Cisco Systems
FY to 25 Jul 2026$63.3bn11.8%64.5%24.3%20.2%6.0%15.1%9315.7%$46.7bn
Arista Networks
TTM to 30 Jun 2026$10.5bn32.6%63.0%43.1%48.9%4.8%13.0%23728.0%$8.4bn
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
TTM to 31 Jul 2026$41.9bn26.6%36.7%6.2%9.9%1.9%8.8%1634.3%$10.9bn
Palo Alto Networks
FY to 31 Jul 2026$11.5bn24.5%70.4%6.1%35.8%15.5%22.2%n/a3.0%$21.2bn
Fortinet
TTM to 30 Jun 2026$7.5bn18.8%80.2%32.4%41.4%3.9%11.2%10475.6%$7.7bn
Broadcom
TTM to 2 Aug 2026$89.1bn48.7%68.8%48.0%44.2%9.5%13.3%5922.8%$179.2bn
NVIDIA
TTM to 26 Jul 2026$303.0bn83.4%74.7%65.2%41.9%2.4%7.8%15084.2%$3.2bn
Ciena
TTM to 1 Aug 2026$6.0bn32.6%44.1%12.3%13.5%3.5%15.4%9511.0%$2.5bn
Peer median
32.6%68.8%32.4%41.4%3.9%13.0%12722.8%

Source: filings linked per company in Table 4.7; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 4.3 Cisco against the range of seven peers

Table 4.4 Networking and security revenue lines of seven peers as filed

CompanyRevenue linePeriodRevenuePrior year periodGrowth
Arista
Total revenueSix months to 30 Jun 2026$5.74bn$4.21bn36.5%
HPE
Networking segment revenueNine months to 31 Jul 2026$8.29bn$3.81bn117.3%
Palo Alto Networks
Total revenueFY to 31 Jul 2026$11.5bn$9.22bn24.5%
Fortinet
Product revenueSix months to 30 Jun 2026$1.42bn$968m46.5%
Broadcom
Semiconductor solutions revenueNine months to 2 Aug 2026$48.4bn$25.8bn87.6%
NVIDIA
Networking revenueFY to 25 Jan 2026$31.4bn$13.0bn141.5%
Ciena
Total revenueNine months to 1 Aug 2026$4.67bn$3.42bn36.6%

Source: filings linked per company in Table 4.7; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Valuation multiples EV / sales, P / E and P / FCF

Cisco trades at 35.6x TTM diluted GAAP EPS and 36.6x FCF. Peer medians are 46.1x for P / E on five peers and 45.8x for P / FCF on seven peers.

Table 4.5 Valuation and capital structure at 9 October 2026 closing prices

CompanyPriceSharesMarket capNet cash (debt)Debt / equityEVEV / salesP / E (n/m: multiple above 100x)P / FCF
Cisco Systems
$118.393.94bn$466.8bn($13.6bn)0.59x$480.4bn7.6x35.6x36.6x
Arista Networks
$216.741.26bn$273.4bn$13.3bn0.00x$260.0bn24.7x68.6x53.0x
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
$73.461.33bn$97.5bn($14.0bn)0.76x$111.5bn2.7x37.9x23.5x
Palo Alto Networks
$418.78818m$342.6bn$6.1bn0.06x$336.4bn29.3xn/m83.3x
Fortinet
$194.75734m$142.9bn$4.0bn0.32x$138.9bn18.5x68.8x45.8x
Broadcom
$361.544.77bn$1.73tn($35.4bn)0.60x$1.76tn19.8x46.1x43.8x
NVIDIA
$229.2824.10bn$5.53tn$66.0bn0.15x$5.46tn18.0x29.0x43.5x
Ciena
$449.77142m$63.8bn($386m)1.06x$64.2bn10.7xn/m78.3x
Peer median
0.32x18.5x46.1x45.8x

Source: share counts and balance sheets from the filings linked per company in Table 4.7; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026, for prices (closes of Arista, Palo Alto Networks, Broadcom and NVIDIA: single source)

Figure 4.4 Valuation multiples at 9 October 2026 closing prices

Table 4.6 Metric definitions and basis

ItemDefinition or basis
TTMLast four reported quarters: latest fiscal year plus current year to date less prior year to date; Cisco and Palo Alto Networks on fiscal years ended July 2026
GrowthTTM revenue against the prior TTM, acquisitions included; HPE consolidates Juniper from July 2025
FCFOperating cash flow less capital expenditure
SBCExpense as shown in the cash flow statement
Gross marginAs filed; HPE derived as revenue less cost of products, cost of services and financing cost
Inventory daysInventory at the latest balance sheet over TTM cost of revenue, times 365; n/a where the balance sheet has no inventory line; Cisco is 117 on product cost of sales in Table 2.4
ROICTTM operating income taxed at 21% over the average of debt plus equity at the start and end of the TTM period
RPOBalance at the latest balance sheet as each filer reports it; Arista figure includes deferred revenue
Shares and market capShares outstanding from the cover of the latest 10-Q or 10-K, times the closing price
Net cash (debt)Cash and marketable securities less debt; NVIDIA marketable securities include $42.8bn of equity securities; lease liabilities and HPE preferred stock excluded
EVMarket cap less net cash
P / EClosing price over TTM diluted GAAP EPS; peer median on the five multiples shown
P / FCFMarket cap over TTM FCF

Source: definitions applied to the filings in Table 4.7

5 Material Events & Contracts

Cisco filed 9 current reports (Form 8-K) between 10 October 2025 and 10 October 2026: 4 with quarterly results, 4 on director or officer changes and 1 on the annual meeting; the report of 13 May 2026 adds a restructuring plan of up to $1bn.

Figure 5.1 Cisco material events by filing type, October 2025 to October 2026

Cisco 8-K filings last twelve months

Form 8-K reports under Items 1.01, 2.01 and 2.03: 0. Reports of a CEO or CFO change: 0.

Table 5.1 Cisco 8-K filings, 10 October 2025 to 10 October 2026, newest first

FiledItemsEvent summaryAccession number
9 Oct 2026
5.02Board appointed Girish D. Rishi, CEO of Cognite Holding B.V., as an independent director effective 9 October 2026, with a pro rata share of the $105,000 annual cash retainer and of the $270,000 initial equity award.0000858877-26-000156
12 Aug 2026
2.02, 9.01Q4 FY2026 revenue $17.25bn, up 17.6% year on year; GAAP diluted EPS $0.97 and non GAAP $1.22; FY2026 revenue $63.33bn, up 11.8%; AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers $4bn in Q4 and $9.3bn in FY2026; FY2027 guidance of $72.2bn to $73.4bn revenue and $5.05 to $5.11 non GAAP EPS; dividend of $0.42 declared.0000858877-26-000106
13 May 2026
2.02, 2.05, 9.01Q3 FY2026 revenue $15.84bn, up 12.0%; GAAP diluted EPS $0.85 and non GAAP $1.06; restructuring plan with pretax charges of up to $1bn, primarily cash, about $450m of it expected in Q4 FY2026 and the remainder in FY2027; expected FY2026 AI infrastructure orders raised to $9bn from $5bn.0000858877-26-000075
1 May 2026
5.02M. Victoria Wong notified Cisco on 27 April 2026 of her retirement as Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer effective 19 May 2026; Nichlas A. Fink, Vice President and Corporate Controller, succeeded her on 20 May 2026 with an expected restricted stock unit award of $500,000.0000858877-26-000057
6 Apr 2026
5.02Director Daniel H. Schulman, on becoming CEO of Verizon Communications Inc., gave notice on 31 March 2026 of his resignation effective 21 May 2026; Peter A. Shimer joined the board and its Audit Committee as an independent director on 6 April 2026.0000858877-26-000048
11 Feb 2026
2.02, 9.01Q2 FY2026 revenue $15.35bn, up 9.7%; GAAP diluted EPS $0.80 and non GAAP $1.04; quarterly dividend raised 2% to $0.42; AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers $2.1bn; 18m shares repurchased for $1.4bn; NeuralFabric Corp. and EzDubs, Inc. acquired.0000858877-26-000006
17 Dec 2025
5.02, 5.07, 9.01Annual meeting of 16 December 2025: 9 directors elected; 2005 Stock Incentive Plan amended to add 57.49m shares, with 96.7% of votes for and against in favor; advisory pay vote 89.0% for; PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP ratified with 91.4%; stockholder proposal on a report on inclusion programs received 1.1%.0000858877-25-000199
12 Nov 2025
2.02, 9.01Q1 FY2026 revenue $14.88bn, up 7.5%; GAAP diluted EPS $0.72 and non GAAP $1.00; AI infrastructure orders from hyperscalers $1.3bn; 29m shares repurchased for $2.0bn at an average $68.28; dividend of $0.41 declared; Aura Asset Intelligence acquired.0001193125-25-277624
17 Oct 2025
5.02Director Wesley G. Bush notified Cisco on 15 October 2025 that he would leave the board at the 2025 annual meeting, and he served until that meeting.0000858877-25-000145

Source: Cisco Forms 8-K with Exhibits 99.1 and 10.1; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco purchase commitments, commercial paper and debt

Inventory purchase commitments rose $6.0bn in Q3 FY2026, and $14.3bn of the $17.2bn total at 25 July 2026 falls due within one year. Commercial paper outstanding rose to $6.7bn from $3.5bn under a $15.0bn program.

Figure 5.2 Inventory purchase commitments at quarter end by period due, $bn

Table 5.2 Purchase commitments and short term debt at quarter end

Quarter endPurchase commitmentsDue within 1 yearDue after 1 yearLiability recorded for excess commitmentsCommercial paper outstandingCommercial paper effective rateCurrent portion of senior notes
25 Jul 2026
$17.2bn$14.3bn$2.8bn$294m$6.7bn3.84%$3.5bn
25 Apr 2026
$16.0bn$14.1bn$1.9bn$209m$8.4bn3.78%$3.5bn
24 Jan 2026
$10.1bn$9.6bn$440m$185m$5.5bn3.88%$3.2bn
25 Oct 2025
$8.3bn$7.9bn$442m$185m$3.5bn4.09%$3.2bn
26 Jul 2025
$7.6bn$7.2bn$397m$206m$3.5bn4.37%$1.7bn
26 Apr 2025
$6.3bn$5.8bn$572m$246m$4.2bn4.49%$2.2bn
25 Jan 2025
$5.8bn$5.1bn$770m$383m$10.9bn4.75%$496m
26 Oct 2024
$5.3bn$4.3bn$1.0bn$439m$11.9bn5.19%$493m

Source: 10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 10-Q Q2 FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2025, 10-Q Q2 FY2025, 10-Q Q1 FY2025; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 5.3 Commercial paper and long term debt principal by maturity at 25 July 2026, $bn

Cisco material contracts

FY2026 10-K exhibit index lists 6 contracts under Exhibit 10 and the Splunk merger agreement; supply agreements filed as exhibits: 0.

Table 5.3 Material contracts and commitments in force

ContractCounterpartyDate and termWhat it does and main termsTerminationFiling
Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (Exhibit 10.6)
Bank of America, N.A. as administrative agent, and a lender group2 Feb 2024; matures 2 Feb 2029; up to 2 extensions of 1 year eachUnsecured revolving credit line of $5.0bn that Cisco can draw for cash, with $250m sublimits for letters of credit and swing line loans, $1.0bn for other currencies and an option to add $2.0bn. Margin of 0.625% to 1.000% over Term SOFR (the secured overnight financing rate for a fixed term) and commitment fee of 0.04% to 0.10% on undrawn amounts, both set by debt rating. Covenant: consolidated EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) to interest expense of at least 3.0 to 1.0; limits on liens. Borrowed at 25 July 2026: $0.Cisco may terminate or reduce commitments on notice of five business days. Events of default include cross default above $500m and a change of control, defined as 35% or more of voting equity; lenders may then cancel commitments and demand repayment.8-K filed 8 Feb 2024, Exhibit 10.1; 10-K FY2026, Note 11
Commercial paper program
Holders of the notesProgram limit $15.0bnShort term notes of up to $15.0bn for general corporate purposes; $6.66bn outstanding at 25 July 2026 at an effective rate of 3.84% ($3.48bn at 4.37% a year earlier). Notes rank equally with the senior notes.Notes fall due at their stated maturities.10-K FY2026, Note 11
Senior fixed rate notes under indentures of 2009, 2014 and 2024 (Exhibits 4.1 to 4.12)
The Bank of New York Mellon Trust Company, N.A. as trustee14 series maturing 20 Sep 2026 to 26 Feb 2064Principal of $23.0bn with coupons of 2.50% to 5.90% and interest paid twice a year; $3.5bn falls due in FY2027 ($1.5bn on 20 Sep 2026 and $2.0bn on 26 Feb 2027). Notes of $1.0bn (4.90%) and $750m (2.95%) matured in Feb 2026. Cisco reports compliance with all debt covenants.Cisco may redeem each series at any time against a make whole premium.10-K FY2026, Note 11 and exhibit index
Inventory purchase commitments
Contract manufacturers and component suppliersUp to 5 years; $14.3bn within 1 year, $2.6bn in 1 to 3 years, $0.3bn in 3 to 5 yearsAgreements that let manufacturers and suppliers procure inventory against Cisco forecasts, plus multi year supply agreements at fixed dollar amounts and agreements for fixed quantities of memory at market prices. Total $17.2bn; deposits and prepayments $1.10bn ($825m); liability for excess commitments $294m ($206m).Some agreements allow Cisco to cancel, reschedule or adjust before firm orders are placed; the 10-K states that much of the total is firm and unconditional.10-K FY2026, Item 1, Item 7 and Note 13
Other purchase obligations
Suppliers of goods and services$2.5bn within 1 year; $3.5bn in 1 to 3 years; $1.1bn beyondContracted goods and services other than leases and inventory commitments: $7.0bn. Operating lease payments add $1.87bn ($461m in FY2027) on a weighted average term of 5.7 years.10-K FY2026, Item 7 and Note 8
Agreement and Plan of Merger with Splunk Inc. (Exhibit 2.1)
Splunk Inc. and Spirit Merger Corp.20 Sep 2023; closed 18 Mar 2024Cash merger at $157 per share; purchase consideration $27.1bn, allocated to $19.3bn of goodwill and $10.6bn of intangible assets.Merger completed; the agreement set termination fees of $1.48bn payable by Cisco and $1.0bn payable by Splunk.8-K filed 21 Sep 2023; 10-K FY2026, Note 4
2005 Stock Incentive Plan, amended and restated (Exhibit 10.1)
Employees, consultants and directorsEffective 16 Dec 2025; terminates at the 2030 annual meetingEquity award plan with a reserve of 928.04m shares after the 57.49m added in Dec 2025; each share granted as stock or stock units counts as 1.5 shares. Annual limits: 5.0m shares per person for each award type and $800,000 of awards plus cash fees per non employee director. Available for grant at 25 July 2026: 131m shares.Board may amend or terminate at any time.8-K filed 17 Dec 2025, Exhibit 10.1; 10-K FY2026, Note 15
Employee Stock Purchase Plan (Exhibit 10.2)
Eligible employeesRestated 16 Sep 2025; ends on the earlier of 3 Jan 2030 or sale of all sharesEmployees buy shares through payroll deductions of up to 10% of earnings at 85% of the lower of the price at grant or at purchase, capped at $25,000 of stock per calendar year. Issued in FY2026: 19m shares; available: 31m shares.10-Q Q1 FY2026, Exhibit 10.1; 10-K FY2026, Note 15
Executive Incentive Plan (Exhibit 10.4)
Officers and key employeesRestated 11 Dec 2017; performance periods of up to 36 monthsCash bonus plan tied to performance goals set by the compensation committee, with a maximum award of $10m per participant per fiscal year; the committee may reduce or cancel an award.Committee may terminate at any time; accrued awards stay in force.8-K filed 12 Dec 2017, Exhibit 10.2
Form of Indemnity Agreement (Exhibit 10.5)
Each director and officer, including Mr. Rishi, Mr. Shimer and Mr. FinkForm filed 25 Jan 2021Cisco indemnifies the individual and advances legal expenses to the fullest extent permitted by Delaware law; the individual repays advances where a court finds against entitlement. Claims the individual initiates need board consent.Advances continue until final disposition of a proceeding.Form 8-K filed 25 Jan 2021 by Cisco as successor issuer, Exhibit 10.1; 8-K filed 9 Oct 2026
2009 Deferred Compensation Plan (Exhibit 10.3)
Selected management and highly paid employeesRestated 1 Oct 2022Unfunded plan under which participants defer up to 75% of base salary and 100% of bonus and commissions; balances are bookkeeping entries and an unsecured claim on Cisco.10-Q filed 22 Nov 2022, Exhibit 10.3

Source: filings linked in the last column; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco restructuring, buyback, dividend and Rule 10b5-1 trading plans

Cisco returned $12.7bn in FY2026: $6.11bn of repurchases at an average $80.26 and $6.55bn of dividends, with $8.1bn of repurchase authority remaining. Restructuring charges of $511m in Q4 FY2026 leave up to $489m of the plan ceiling for FY2027.

Figure 5.4 Share repurchases by quarter and authority remaining, $bn

Table 5.4 Events disclosed in periodic reports, newest first

Event dateWhere disclosedEvent summary
12 Aug 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 14Board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share payable 21 October 2026 to holders of record on 2 October 2026; dividends paid in FY2026 were $6.55bn ($6.44bn in FY2025).
25 Jul 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 6Fiscal 2026 restructuring plan: $511m charged ($450m severance, $61m other), $155m paid in cash, liability $302m; completion expected by the end of FY2027.
25 Jul 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 6; 10-Q Q1 FY2026, Note 6Fiscal 2025 restructuring plan, announced as affecting about 7% of the global workforce: $182m charged in FY2026, $926m cumulative, substantially complete. Total restructuring charges were $693m in FY2026 and $744m in FY2025.
25 Jul 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 4; 10-Q Q3 FY2026, Note 4Acquisitions completed in FY2026 cost $550m (goodwill $350m, intangible assets $190m), of which $49m in the first nine months; Q4 additions were Galileo Technologies, Inc. and Astrix Securities Ltd. FY2025 total: $293m. Future cash compensation expense of up to $293m may be recognized under acquisition agreements, contingent on continued employment (all acquisitions).
25 Jul 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 13Channel partner financing volume $29.9bn in FY2026, of which $1.2bn was subject to Cisco guarantees at year end; maximum potential future payments $127m; funding commitments to privately held investees $0.4bn.
6 Jun 2026
10-K FY2026, Item 9BChief Accounting Officer Nichlas A. Fink adopted a Rule 10b5-1 trading plan for the sale of 14,440 shares, ending 25 June 2027.
18 Feb to 17 Mar 2026
10-Q Q3 FY2026, Part II Item 5Rule 10b5-1 plans adopted by Chair and CEO Charles H. Robbins (494,027 shares, to 27 March 2027), Ms. Wong (21,150 shares) and Executive Vice President Thimaya Subaiya (74,487 shares).
26 and 28 Feb 2026
10-K FY2026, Note 11Senior notes of $1.0bn at 4.90% and $750m at 2.95% matured and carry a balance of $0 at 25 July 2026; carrying amount of senior notes, current portion included, fell to $22.9bn from $24.6bn.
16 to 19 Dec 2025
10-Q Q2 FY2026, Part II Item 5Rule 10b5-1 plans adopted by CFO Mark Patterson (87,228 shares), President and Chief Product Officer Jeetendra I. Patel (163,293 shares), Chief Legal Officer Deborah L. Stahlkopf (149,243 shares) and Chief Sales Officer Oliver Tuszik (44,768 shares), each ending 19 December 2026.

Source: 10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 10-Q Q2 FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

6 Ownership, Voting Power & Annual Meeting

Vanguard Capital Management reported 283.8m Cisco shares, 7.18% of common stock, at 31 March 2026, and the 16 December 2025 advisory vote on executive pay passed with 89.0% of votes cast, against 77.1% a year earlier. Cisco has one class of common stock with one vote per share. Directors and executive officers as a group held 487,889 shares, 0.01% of the class.

Cisco major shareholders, voting power and Schedule 13D and 13G filings

Schedule 13G filings from 10 October 2024 to 10 October 2026: 4. Schedule 13D filings: 0.

Table 6.1 Holders of 5% or more and Schedule 13G filings, October 2024 to October 2026: shares, share of class and voting power as filed

HolderFiling basisShares beneficially owned% of class, as filedSole voting powerShared voting powerVoting power, % of class (derived: sole plus shared votes over shares owned, times % of class)
BlackRock, Inc.
2025 proxy, from Schedule 13G/A filed 25 Jan 2024351.1m8.9%318.6m08.08%
Vanguard Capital Management
Schedule 13G filed 29 Apr 2026, holdings at 31 Mar 2026283.8m7.18%40.1m01.01%
State Street Corporation
Schedule 13G filed 7 Aug 2026, holdings at 30 Jun 2026197.4m5.0%0117.6m2.98%
The Vanguard Group
2025 proxy, from Schedule 13G/A filed 13 Feb 2024383.9m9.7%05.1m0.13%
The Vanguard Group
Schedule 13G/A (No. 10) filed 5 Nov 2025, holdings at 31 Oct 2025396.4m10.02%023.3m0.59%
The Vanguard Group
Schedule 13G/A (No. 11) filed 26 Mar 2026, holdings at 13 Mar 202600.00%000.00%

Source: DEF 14A filed 28 October 2025 and Schedule 13G filings linked in the table; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 6.2 Directors and executive officers: beneficial ownership at 28 August 2025

HolderPosition as filedShares beneficially ownedOf which deferred stock units, restricted stock units and dividend equivalents% of classShares, 30 August 2024Change
Michael D. Capellas
Lead Independent Director169,8870below 1%165,7314,156
Dr. Kristina M. Johnson
Director71,62961,513below 1%73,461(1,832)
Wesley G. Bush
Director until the 2025 annual meeting60,20550,205below 1%52,4357,770
Mark Garrett
Director36,9280below 1%32,7724,156
Marianna Tessel
Director33,03128,875below 1%27,5875,444
John D. Harris II
Director24,8340below 1%20,6784,156
Sarah Rae Murphy
Director15,8250below 1%11,6694,156
Daniel H. Schulman
Director10,45610,456below 1%6,0414,415
Gary Steele
Former President, Go to Market7,2430below 1%6,447796
Dev Stahlkopf
Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer4,4824,482below 1%4,357125
Kevin Weil
Director4,3132,911below 1%n/an/a
Thimaya Subaiya
Executive Vice President, Operations3,4593,459below 1%2,634825
R. Scott Herren
Former Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer1,6930below 1%1,64845
Charles H. Robbins
Chair and Chief Executive Officer; excludes 243,000 fully vested deferred stock units and 48,719 dividend equivalents settling after 60 days5260below 1%587(61)
Jeetu Patel
President and Chief Product Officer2000below 1%n/an/a
All current executive officers, directors and nominees (15 persons)
Group total; 14 persons in 2024487,889166,286below 1%408,63479,255

Source: DEF 14A filed 28 October 2025; DEF 14A filed 18 October 2024; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 6.3 Share structure, board and pay facts

ItemFact
Classes of voting stock1 (common stock), one vote per share; cumulative voting: none
Shares outstanding3.94bn at the record date, 17 October 2025, and at 27 August 2026 (10-K cover)
Registered stockholders, 27 August 202629,241
Board elected 16 December 20259 directors, elected annually by majority of votes cast
Board Chair and lead directorCharles H. Robbins, Chair and Chief Executive Officer; Michael D. Capellas, Lead Independent Director
Director appointed after the meetingGirish D. Rishi, effective 9 October 2026
Stockholder rightsAction by written consent; holders of 10% of shares may call a special meeting; proxy access bylaw; stockholder rights plans (poison pills) in force: 0
Pledging and hedging of company stockProhibited for executive officers and directors
CEO total compensationFY2025 $52.84m; FY2024 $39.20m; FY2023 $31.84m; change on prior year (derived): FY2025 34.8%; FY2024 23.1%
CEO stock awards, grant date fair valueFY2025 $45.87m; FY2024 $35.37m; FY2023 $24.11m; share of total compensation (derived): 86.8%; 90.2%; 75.7%
CEO total as adjusted for alternative stock award valuesFY2025 $41.27m; FY2024 $39.85m; FY2023 $38.73m
Median employee total compensation, FY2025$177,115
CEO pay ratio, FY2025298 to 1
Gross burn rate (equity awards granted, % of shares)FY2025 1.77%; FY2024 1.57%; FY2023 1.77%
Say on pay, % of votes cast forDecember 2022 about 89%; December 2023 about 75%; December 2024 77.1%; December 2025 89.0%

Source: DEF 14A filed 28 October 2025; DEF 14A filed 18 October 2024; 10-K for FY2026; 8-K filed 9 October 2026; 8-K filed 17 December 2025; 8-K filed 11 December 2024; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco 13F institutional holders

Form 13F filings reporting Cisco common stock rose from 3,548 for 30 September 2025 to 4,189 for 30 June 2026, up 18.1%. Invesco reported 138.2m shares at 30 June 2026 against 53.6m at 30 September 2025; BlackRock reported 358.7m against 376.2m.

Figure 6.1 Form 13F filings reporting Cisco common stock and shares held by 9 filer groups

Table 6.4 Cisco shares reported by 12 large Form 13F filers

FilerQ3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026Change Q3 2025 to Q2 2026% of shares outstanding, Q2 2026
BlackRock, Inc.
376.2m378.3mn/a358.7m(17.6m)9.10%
Vanguard Group Inc
394.9m398.9mn/an/an/an/a
Vanguard Capital Management LLC
n/an/a243.8m244.8mn/a6.21%
Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC
n/an/a117.8m119.3mn/a3.03%
State Street Corp
194.5m195.5m193.6m197.2m2.7m5.00%
Invesco Ltd.
53.6m148.6m139.7m138.2m84.6m3.50%
Geode Capital Management
101.0m99.6m102.1m101.0m(11,108)2.56%
Morgan Stanley
75.1m75.3m77.7m80.4m5.3m2.04%
FMR LLC
73.5m65.4m67.4m76.1m2.6m1.93%
Capital Research Global Investors
0063.9m67.2m67.2m1.70%
Bank of America Corp
50.7m52.1m51.8m50.2m(543,971)1.27%
JPMorgan Chase & Co
37.1m30.3m35.8m48.9m11.8m1.24%

Source: Form 13F filings for the four quarter ends, CUSIP 17275R102, with the filing for 30 June 2026 linked per filer: BlackRock, Inc.; Vanguard Capital Management LLC; Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC; State Street Corp; Invesco Ltd.; Geode Capital Management; Morgan Stanley; FMR LLC; Capital Research Global Investors; Bank of America Corp; JPMorgan Chase & Co; Invesco Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 include the 13F-HR/A filed 15 July 2026; shares outstanding 3.94bn from the 10-K cover; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 6.2 Cisco shares reported by 12 large Form 13F filers, four quarter ends

Cisco 2025 annual meeting voting results

Holders of 3.33bn shares, 84.4% of shares entitled to vote, were represented on 16 December 2025. Stockholders approved 57.5m additional shares for the 2005 Stock Incentive Plan with 96.7% of votes cast. A stockholder proposal from the National Center for Public Policy Research, which the board opposed, received 1.1%.

Table 6.5 Annual meeting results, 16 December 2025, with 9 December 2024 comparison

ItemBoard positionForAgainstAbstainedBroker non votes% of votes cast for (for over for plus against)
Item 1: elect director Michael D. Capellas
For2.66bn230.0m4.60m426.5m92.1%
Item 1: elect director Mark Garrett
For2.82bn70.3m4.59m426.5m97.6%
Item 1: elect director John D. Harris II
For2.87bn21.0m4.70m426.5m99.3%
Item 1: elect director Dr. Kristina M. Johnson
For2.81bn86.3m4.30m426.5m97.0%
Item 1: elect director Sarah Rae Murphy
For2.89bn8.2m4.38m426.5m99.7%
Item 1: elect director Charles H. Robbins
For2.62bn262.3m15.16m426.5m90.9%
Item 1: elect director Daniel H. Schulman
For2.59bn268.5m42.21m426.5m90.6%
Item 1: elect director Marianna Tessel
For2.87bn20.8m4.37m426.5m99.3%
Item 1: elect director Kevin Weil
For2.88bn9.8m4.57m426.5m99.7%
Item 2: amend and restate 2005 Stock Incentive Plan (shares authorized to 928.0m)
For2.79bn93.8m15.35m426.5m96.7%
Item 3: advisory vote on executive compensation
For2.55bn314.6m34.00m426.5m89.0%
Item 4: ratify PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP for fiscal 2026
For3.03bn285.5m5.10m091.4%
Item 5: stockholder proposal: report on financial value of inclusion programs (National Center for Public Policy Research)
Against30.5m2.83bn41.84m426.5m1.1%
2024: elect director Charles H. Robbins
For2.66bn243.1m16.36m468.3m91.6%
2024: advisory vote on executive compensation
For2.24bn666.1m13.03m468.3m77.1%
2024: ratify PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP
For3.13bn255.3m4.55m092.5%

Source: 8-K Item 5.07 filed 17 December 2025; 8-K Item 5.07 filed 11 December 2024; DEF 14A filed 28 October 2025 for proponent and board positions; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 6.3 Votes at the 16 December 2025 annual meeting, with share of votes cast in favor
Figure 6.4 CEO total compensation and say on pay vote, FY2023 to FY2025

7 Insider Activity

Cisco insiders sold 1.30m shares for $105.78m in the open market in the twelve months to 10 October 2026, 0.03% of 3.94bn shares outstanding, and bought 0; 54,130 of those shares, $6.03m, were sold after FY2026 ended on 25 July 2026. Forms 4 with the Rule 10b5-1 box checked carry 97% of shares sold. Filings: 103 Forms 4, 2 Forms 3, 0 Forms 5, 18 reporting persons.

Insider buying and selling by month

Figure 7.1 Insider open market sales by month, value and shares, Oct 2025 to Oct 2026

November 2025 carries 1.08m shares and $84.49m, 80% of sale value in the twelve months; performance based restricted stock units (PRSUs) settled on 10 November 2025. Buy to sell ratio on open market transactions (Form 4 codes P and S): 0.00.

Table 7.1 Insider transactions by month, shares and sale value

MonthSold (S)Bought (P)Sale valueSellersAwards and settlements (A)Withheld for tax (F)Transferred to own trust (G)
Oct 2025
000002,1090
Nov 2025
1,084,4800$84.49m71,678,842926,9360
Dec 2025
42,6540$3.30m428,6762,1376,962
Jan 2026
000002,1080
Feb 2026
43,2560$3.32m4035,1780
Mar 2026
18,3000$1.44m51,1492,0140
Apr 2026
00002,3332,2600
May 2026
43,4280$5.14m5044,8980
Jun 2026
17,1310$2.06m35,35413,6570
Jul 2026
000002,2590
Aug 2026
49,0690$5.48m6045,3270
Sep 2026
5,0610$0.55m4588,8953,2220
Oct 2026
0000000
Total
1,303,3790$105.78m102,305,2491,082,1076,962

Source: Forms 3 and 4 filed 10 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Insider sales by person

Chair and CEO Charles H. Robbins sold 665,005 shares for $53.44m, 51% of the total, and reported 769,779 shares and units held on the Form 4 filed 18 September 2026.

Figure 7.2 Shares and units held directly after each Form 4 transaction, executive officers

Table 7.2 Reporting persons: twelve month sales, plan transactions and latest reported holding

InsiderRoleSale filingsShares sold (S)Sale valueSold with Rule 10b5-1 box checkedAwards and settlements (A)Withheld for tax (F)Held directly including unvested unitsHeld indirectlyLatest Form 3 or 4
Charles H. Robbins
Chair and CEO4665,005$53.44m665,0051,126,759535,763769,77900000858877-26-000150
Jeetu Patel
President and Chief Product Officer4189,483$15.26m189,483395,283187,678369,8182000000858877-26-000152
Dev Stahlkopf
Executive Vice President (EVP) and Chief Legal Officer4185,658$14.95m185,658314,820130,674222,80600000858877-26-000149
Mark Patterson
EVP and CFO693,704$8.02m93,704167,30964,837258,59500000858877-26-000151
Thimaya Subaiya
EVP, Operations783,031$7.01m83,031116,58582,673183,35100002015287-26-000022
Oliver Tuszik
EVP, Global Sales730,733$2.74m30,733128,69766,049232,95000000858877-26-000148
Michael D. Capellas
Director127,000$2.08m03,4810146,36800000858877-25-000222
Dr. Kristina M. Johnson
Director113,481$1.04m04,632063,64500001116268-26-000015
M. Victoria Wong
Senior Vice President (SVP) and Chief Accounting Officer to 19 May 2026513,010$1.00m13,0109,49313,22726,68900000858877-26-000070
Nichlas A. Fink
SVP and Chief Accounting Officer from 20 May 202612,274$0.25m2,27412,3271,20539,17800000858877-26-000147
Wesley G. Bush
Director0000438050,65310,0000000858877-25-000215
Marianna Tessel
Director00004,389037,83100001784171-26-000005
John D. Harris II
Director00003,481028,31500000858877-25-000212
Daniel H. Schulman
Director00003,481013,93700000858877-25-000217
Kevin Weil
Director00004,77907,7931,4030000858877-26-000140
Peter A. Shimer
Director00002,33302,33300000858877-26-000052
Mark Garrett
Director00003,4810040,4090000858877-25-000224
Sarah Rae Murphy
Director00003,4810019,3060000858877-25-000223
Total
401,303,379$105.78m1,262,8982,305,2491,082,107

Source: Forms 3 and 4 linked in the table; Form 4 filer names that differ from the proxy: Patel Jeetendra I, Stahlkopf Deborah L, Wong Maria Victoria; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 7.3 Ten largest open market sales by value

DateInsiderRoleSharesPrice as reportedValueHeld after transactionForm 4
17 Nov 2025
Charles H. RobbinsChair and CEO150,546$77.83$11.72m952,2010000858877-25-000176
17 Nov 2025
Charles H. RobbinsChair and CEO131,314$78.95$10.37m820,8870000858877-25-000176
14 Nov 2025
Charles H. RobbinsChair and CEO131,920$78.20$10.32m1,102,7470000858877-25-000176
14 Nov 2025
Dev StahlkopfEVP and Chief Legal Officer111,081$78.20$8.69m196,7380000858877-25-000178
14 Nov 2025
Jeetu PatelPresident and Chief Product Officer110,996$78.20$8.68m281,1080000858877-25-000177
18 Nov 2025
Charles H. RobbinsChair and CEO82,742$77.17$6.38m738,1450000858877-25-000176
14 Nov 2025
Charles H. RobbinsChair and CEO51,028$77.37$3.95m1,234,6670000858877-25-000176
18 Nov 2025
Mark PattersonEVP and CFO48,632$77.16$3.75m229,1810000858877-25-000182
19 Nov 2025
Thimaya SubaiyaEVP, Operations39,976$78.50$3.14m179,7800000858877-25-000183
14 Nov 2025
Dev StahlkopfEVP and Chief Legal Officer37,723$77.38$2.92m307,8190000858877-25-000178

Source: Forms 4 linked in the table; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Stock awards, tax withholding and transfers

Shares withheld for tax total 1.08m, $81.89m at reported prices, 0.83 times shares sold.

Figure 7.3 Awards, tax withholding and open market sales by officer, 12 months

Table 7.4 Insider transactions by type

TypeCodeTransactionsInsidersShares or unitsValue at reported price
Open market purchase
P0000
Open market sale
S95101,303,379$105.78m
Shares withheld for tax on vesting
F4581,082,107$81.89m
PRSUs settled on 10 Nov 2025, with dividend equivalents
A771,678,842n/a
Restricted stock units (RSUs) granted to officers, 3 Jun and 16 Sep 2026
A87592,431n/a
Stock or deferred units awarded to directors
A9930,181n/a
Shares or deferred units in lieu of director cash fees
A1143,795$0.36m
Transfer from direct holding to own trust
G226,962n/a
Option exercise
M0000

Source: Forms 4 filed 10 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Form 144 notices of proposed sale and new insiders on Form 3

Form 144 notices cover 1.58m shares at $127.14m stated market value, 0.04% of shares outstanding; 42 of 47 state a Rule 10b5-1 plan adoption date.

Table 7.5 Form 144 notices filed 10 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2026, by person

Person for whose accountRelationshipNoticesFiledShares to be soldStated market valueSold on Forms 4Form 144
Charles H. Robbins
Director614 Nov 2025 to 14 Aug 2026665,005$53.29m665,0051, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Richard Scott Herren
Officer214 Nov 2025 to 19 Nov 2025255,578$19.78m01, 2
Jeetu Patel
Officer414 Nov 2025 to 14 Aug 2026189,483$15.17m189,4831, 2, 3, 4
Dev Stahlkopf
Officer414 Nov 2025 to 14 Aug 2026185,658$14.86m185,6581, 2, 3, 4
Mark Patterson
Officer618 Nov 2025 to 11 Sep 202693,704$8.04m93,7041, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Thimaya Subaiya
Officer719 Nov 2025 to 14 Sep 202683,031$6.95m83,0311, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Oliver Tuszik
Officer714 Nov 2025 to 14 Sep 202630,733$2.73m30,7331, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Michael D. Capellas
Director118 Dec 202527,000$2.05m27,0001
Daniel H. Schulman
Director126 May 202614,080$1.67m01
M. Victoria Wong
Officer724 Nov 2025 to 4 Jun 202615,576$1.31m13,0101, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Dr. Kristina M. Johnson
Director118 Dec 202513,481$1.04m13,4811
Nichlas A. Fink
Officer18 Sep 20262,274$0.25m2,2741
Total
471,575,603$127.14m1,303,379

Source: Forms 144 linked in the table; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 7.6 Forms 3 filed and board appointments, 10 Oct 2025 to 10 Oct 2026

PersonRoleEffectiveAppointment 8-KForm 3 filedSecurities on Form 3Form 3
Peter A. Shimer
Director6 Apr 20260000858877-26-0000487 Apr 202600000858877-26-000051
Nichlas A. Fink
SVP and Chief Accounting Officer20 May 20260000858877-26-00005726 May 202629,8040000858877-26-000090
Girish D. Rishi
Director9 Oct 20260000858877-26-000156Forms 3 filed by 10 Oct 2026: 0n/an/a

Source: Forms 3 and 8-K filings linked in the table; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

8 Risk Factors

Cisco's 10-K FY2026 carries 38 risk factors in 13,047 words under the same 38 headings as the 10-K FY2025 (13,231 words); 13 gained substance, led by a cloud factor rewritten around AI infrastructure sales concentrated among a limited number of hyperscaler customers. Risk factors added: 0. Risk factors dropped: 0.

Cisco risk factors by category

Table 8.1 Risk factor count, word count and status by category, FY2026 against FY2025

CategoryCount FY2025Count FY2026Words FY2025 (headings and body)Words FY2026 (headings and body)Change in wordsSubstance addedText removedEdited (same substance, shorter or reordered wording)Unchanged
Business and industry
303010,46510,078(387)95151
Intellectual property
33905818(87)1020
Cybersecurity, privacy and regulation
441,6521,9422903010
Ownership of stock
1120920900001
Total
383813,23113,047(184)135182

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 8.1 Status of FY2026 risk factors against FY2025 by category

Cisco risk factor changes FY2026 against FY2025

Table 8.2 Item 1A risk factors in the FY2026 10-K and change against the FY2025 10-K

CategoryRisk factorWords FY2026Change in wordsStatusWhat changed
Business and industry
Fluctuating results374(33)EditedFactor list regrouped; mix of cloud based and on premise software sales named as a variable; "Internet businesses" replaced by cloud customers.
Business and industry
Economic conditions and geopolitics238(62)Text removedSentence on reports of US government intelligence gathering methods and their effect on customer perception removed; government disruptions or shutdowns added.
Business and industry
Revenue predictability506(193)Text removedParagraph on excess and obsolete inventory charges from higher purchase commitments removed, with its cross reference to MD&A; shipping patterns added beside sales patterns.
Business and industry
Supply chain and component supply1,23772Substance addedNames "the memory shortages experienced in fiscal 2026" and rising cost of constrained memory; adds purchase commitments above actual requirements, higher deposits and prepayments, losses on purchase commitments and demand that is hard to predict in AI infrastructure; supplier settlement sentence removed.
Business and industry
Gross margin39217Substance addedHigher semiconductor and memory cost described as seen in fiscal 2026 and expected to continue; mix of cloud based and on premise software added; statement that product gross margin rose in fiscal 2025 removed.
Business and industry
Service provider and cloud sales630183Substance addedHeading now covers AI infrastructure sales to large cloud and hyperscaler customers that "may be concentrated among a limited number of customers"; adds delay, reduction or cancellation of deployments, internal development by customers and customized products with supply commitments.
Business and industry
Distribution model400(11)EditedSentences shortened by 11 words.
Business and industry
Competition743154Substance addedAdds that AI and cloud customers select network architectures before products; names semiconductor companies, systems providers and cloud providers as competitors; adds that hyperscalers can design their own networking equipment, semiconductors and software; adds price reductions and loss of market share.
Business and industry
Channel inventory187(48)EditedSentence on higher purchase commitments in periods of supply constraint removed; remaining text shortened.
Business and industry
AI development and use36875Substance addedAdds agentic AI systems: unauthorized actions, privilege escalation, exploitation by malicious actors and behavior that is harder to monitor and control.
Business and industry
Software subscription offerings575(15)Substance addedAdds that exposure to cyber attacks on cloud services grows as AI capabilities spread among threat actors; date of the Splunk acquisition removed.
Business and industry
New products and technology trends628(40)Substance addedAdds hyperscaler requirements on performance, cost and power efficiency, Cisco Silicon One and optics as strategic priorities, and pace of semiconductor and optical design; list of product success factors removed.
Business and industry
Restructuring and impairments31931Substance addedAdds the restructuring plan initiated in Q4 FY2026, expected to be substantially completed by the end of FY2027.
Business and industry
Long term investment1792UnchangedText identical apart from "results of operations" replacing "operating results".
Business and industry
Acquisitions398(95)EditedRisk list condensed by 95 words; Splunk removed as the example of a large acquired company.
Business and industry
New and developing markets163(13)EditedRewritten in shorter sentences; closing sentence on harm to results added.
Business and industry
Strategic alliances172(20)EditedRewritten in shorter sentences; competing and cooperating with the same partner kept.
Business and industry
Product quality21413EditedDefects described as "isolated or systemic"; cross reference to the cybersecurity risk factors added.
Business and industry
Global operations248(118)EditedCountry risk list converted to five bullets and cut by 118 words; pandemics, tariffs and China and Taiwan relations kept.
Business and industry
Customer credit risk188(88)Text removedStatement of typical payment terms of 30 days in the United States removed; reference to bankruptcies among Internet businesses and service providers removed.
Business and industry
Investment portfolio1701EditedPrivately held investments renamed non marketable equity securities; possible loss now reads "all or part of" the investments.
Business and industry
Currency exchange rates118(15)EditedSentences shortened by 15 words.
Business and industry
Key personnel223(25)EditedSentences shortened by 25 words; claims of improper hiring practices kept.
Business and industry
Claims and litigation143(51)Text removedExample of the supplier dispute settled on 26 August 2025 removed; note reference moved from Note 14 to Note 13.
Business and industry
Counterfeit products148(4)EditedRewritten in shorter sentences; adds that enforcement efforts "in certain cases" may be unsuccessful.
Business and industry
Income taxes301(91)Text removedParagraph on the OECD Pillar Two framework and its 15% minimum tax removed (91 words net).
Business and industry
Natural catastrophes and climate165(24)EditedWildfires, storms, drought and sea level rise moved into the list of events at customer and supplier sites.
Business and industry
Terrorism and war18418Substance addedAdds restrictions "arising out of the current conflicts and wars in the Middle East" beside those tied to the Russia and Ukraine war.
Business and industry
Debt2222EditedFigures updated: senior notes $23.0bn (FY2025 $24.8bn), commercial paper $6.7bn (FY2025 $3.5bn) under a $15.0bn program.
Business and industry
Environmental, social and governance matters245(9)EditedExamples "environmental sustainability and climate change" removed; assumptions now cover product energy consumption and clean energy in electric grids.
Intellectual property
Enforcement of proprietary rights268(50)EditedRewritten and cut by 50 words; limits on protection for works made with generative AI tools kept.
Intellectual property
Infringement claims422(30)Substance addedDevelopments in patent policy and practice at the US Patent and Trademark Office added as a driver of more claims; acquisition related exposure moved up.
Intellectual property
Third party licenses128(7)EditedSentences shortened by 7 words; renewal of licenses added beside obtaining them.
Cybersecurity, privacy and regulation
Cyber attacks and data breaches63148Substance addedAI capabilities described as raising the speed, scale and effectiveness of attacks, "further reducing the time to identify and mitigate threats"; insider threats and criminals named.
Cybersecurity, privacy and regulation
Vulnerabilities and security defects755238Substance addedAdds 238 words: AI enabled discovery and exploitation of vulnerabilities with little or no delay, chaining of low severity vulnerabilities, preliminary mitigations, post quantum cryptography and security practices of acquired companies.
Cybersecurity, privacy and regulation
Data protection and privacy2712Substance addedEU Data Act and industrial data added beside the General Data Protection Regulation; California Privacy Rights Act replaces the California Consumer Privacy Act.
Cybersecurity, privacy and regulation
Product and service regulation2852EditedSourcing, sovereignty and localization added to the list of customer procurement requirements.
Ownership of stock
Stock price volatility2090UnchangedText identical at 209 words.

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 8.2 Change in word count by risk factor, FY2026 against FY2025

Hyperscaler concentration, agentic AI and prepayment text first appears in the 10-K filed 2 September 2026; memory supply and AI enabled exploitation entered through the FY2026 10-Q filings.

Table 8.3 Filing in which selected Item 1A changes first appear

FilingFiledChanges first appearing in Item 1A
18 Nov 2025Memory supply constraints seen in Q1 FY2026 named in the supply chain factor; customers for Cisco Silicon One commitments described as hyperscalers, previously webscale; EU Data Act and California Privacy Rights Act named; sovereignty added to procurement requirements.
17 Feb 2026Statement that Cisco has been and expects to continue to be adversely impacted by higher cost of constrained memory components; memory components added to new purchase commitments; sentence on US government intelligence gathering methods removed; US Patent and Trademark Office policy added to infringement claims.
19 May 2026AI enabled identification and exploitation of vulnerabilities with little or no delay; post quantum cryptography; restructuring plan initiated in Q4 FY2026; AI mentions rise from 20 to 24.
2 Sep 2026Cloud factor heading extended to AI infrastructure and customer concentration; agentic AI; deposits and prepayments with suppliers; hyperscalers that design their own equipment; OECD Pillar Two paragraph, supplier settlement example and 30 day payment terms removed; AI mentions rise to 36.

Source: 10-Q Q1 FY2026, 10-Q Q2 FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 10-K FY2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Figure 8.3 Mentions of selected terms in Item 1A, last five filings

FY2026 10-K states that much of the purchase commitments supports products sold to hyperscalers and other large customers, whose orders may be canceled, rescheduled or modified with limited notice. Charges for excess inventory and purchase commitments were $387m in FY2026 and reduce product gross margin.

Table 8.4 Filed figures behind the supply chain risk factor

MeasureFY2026FY2025FY2024
Inventory purchase commitments due in 1 to 3 years
$2.6bn$320mn/a
Inventory purchase commitments due in 3 to 5 years
$266m$77mn/a
Inventory deposits and prepayments
$1.1bn$825m$973m
Liability for purchase commitments above demand forecasts
$294m$206m$498m
Provisions for inventory and purchase commitment liability, in cost of sales
$387m$493m$819m

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026 (Item 7 and Notes 6, 13 and 18); balances at fiscal year end; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Asserted Brazilian tax claims total $1.44bn at 25 July 2026 ($1.25bn a year earlier), of which interest is $969m.

Table 8.5 Legal proceedings in the notes to the financial statements

MatterFY2026 10-K, Note 13(f)FY2025 10-K, Note 14(f)
Brazil import tax claims for calendar years 2004 to 2007
Tax $153m, interest $969m, penalties $315m; likelihood and range of loss stated as undeterminable; final judicial determination expected in several yearsTax $141m, interest $816m, penalties $289m; same assessment
Centripetal Networks patent cases (United States, Germany, France)
Federal Circuit affirmed the US finding of no infringement on 29 April 2026; German court gave a preliminary opinion of no infringement on 2 April 2026, related invalidity appeal hearing set for 10 November 2026; final hearing in France set for 8 October 2026US appeals pending; German appeals pending; French hearing expected in Q3 of calendar 2026; damages, if any, assessed as immaterial
Ramot at Tel Aviv University patent cases (Cisco and Acacia)
Delaware court granted summary judgment of no infringement on all patents in suit before trial; Ramot appeal to the Federal Circuit ongoing; damages, if any, assessed as immaterialDelaware trial set for 3 November 2025; Texas and Delaware infringement cases stayed
Egenera patent case
0 mentionsFederal Circuit affirmed judgment in favor of Cisco on 7 July 2025
Supplier dispute over long term supply arrangements
MD&A cites the fiscal 2025 charge as absent in fiscal 2026Settled 26 August 2025: $355m charge in Q4 FY2025, $563m of escrow released to Cisco, about $450m of prepayments forfeited (Note 21)

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Cisco market risk sensitivity and cybersecurity governance

Non marketable equity securities rose to $4.0bn from $1.9bn, including $1.4bn of net unrealized gains in FY2026; Item 7A adds that the carrying amount may fall if later transactions occur at lower valuations.

Table 8.6 Item 7A market risk disclosures as filed

Measure25 Jul 202626 Jul 2025
Available for sale debt investments, fair value
$8.34bn$7.38bn
Fair value after a 150 basis point rate rise
$8.26bn$7.31bn
Fair value after a 150 basis point rate fall
$8.42bn$7.45bn
Financing receivables, carrying value
$8.3bn$6.5bn
Change in financing receivables fair value for 50 basis points
about $0.1bnabout $0.1bn
Senior fixed rate notes, principal
$23.0bn$24.8bn
Senior fixed rate notes, fair value
$22.7bn$25.0bn
Change in fixed rate debt fair value for 50 basis points
about $0.7bnabout $0.8bn
Marketable equity securities, fair value
$361m$383m
Non marketable equity securities, carrying amount
$4.0bn$1.9bn
Foreign exchange forwards purchased, notional
$4.09bn$4.50bn
Foreign exchange forwards sold, notional
$4.60bn$4.48bn
Share of operating expenses in US dollars
about 75%about 75%
Currency effect on operating expenses for the fiscal year, net of hedging
$195m increase, 0.8%$16m decrease, 0.1%

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026 (Item 7A); SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 8.7 Item 1C cybersecurity disclosure, FY2026 against FY2025

TopicFY2026 10-KFY2025 10-K
Program lead
Chief Security and Trust Officer, reporting to the Executive Vice President, Operations; over 25 years in information technology and security rolesSame
Board oversight
Audit Committee receives reports at least four times a year and a live presentation at least twice a yearSame
Threat intelligence
Security and Trust Organization works with the Talos Threat Intelligence Group, governments and peer companiesSame
Material effect
Company states no material effect on business, results or financial condition from cybersecurity risks to date, including previously identified incidentsSame

Source: 10-K FY2025, 10-K FY2026 (Item 1C); SEC filings via SEC-API.io

9 Stock Price, Scenarios & Sensitivity

Three sets of stated assumptions for FY2028 to FY2030 give arithmetic outcomes of $54, $117 and $241 per share at end FY2030, against a close of $118.39 on 9 October 2026. That close is 35.6x FY2026 diluted GAAP EPS of $3.33 and 29.4x the $4.03 midpoint of company FY2027 guidance. Dividends of $0.42 per quarter (1.4% yield) are excluded from every implied price.

CSCO share price and valuation multiples

Table 9.1 Share price range, price change and further multiples

MeasureValueBasis
52 week range
$66.81 to $130.3752 weeks to 9 October 2026
Change since October 2021 month end
112%From $55.97
Change since 31 December 2025
53.7%From $77.03
P / E on FY2027 guidance
29.4x$4.03 midpoint of company guidance for diluted GAAP EPS
Price / non GAAP EPS
27.3xCompany non GAAP EPS $4.33, FY2026
EV / operating income
31.3xEV $480.4bn over FY2026 operating income $15.37bn
FCF yield
2.7%FY2026 FCF $12.77bn over market cap $466.8bn

Source: 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026 (month end closes before October 2025: single source)

Figure 9.1 CSCO month end share price, October 2021 to 9 October 2026

Shares closed at $113.47 on 13 August 2026, a change of (8.4)% from the $123.88 close on 12 August 2026, the day of the Q4 FY2026 release.

Table 9.2 Last four results releases and share price change over each release month

ReleaseQuarterRevenue growth year on yearChange over release month
12 November 2025
Q1 FY20267.5%5.2%
11 February 2026
Q2 FY20269.7%1.5%
13 May 2026
Q3 FY202612.0%31.6%
12 August 2026
Q4 FY202617.6%(4.7)%

Source: 10-Q Q1 FY2026, 10-Q Q2 FY2026, 10-Q Q3 FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026

FY2027 estimate from company guidance

Table 9.3 FY2027 estimate build

ItemFY2026 filedCompany guidanceFY2027 estimateBasis of estimate
Revenue
$63.33bn$72.2bn to $73.4bn$72.80bnGuidance midpoint
Revenue growth
11.8%14.0% to 15.9%15.0%Guidance midpoint
Gross margin (GAAP)
64.5%63% to 64%, Q1 FY202763.5%Q1 FY2027 guidance midpoint
Diluted GAAP EPS
$3.33$4.00 to $4.06$4.03Guidance midpoint
Non GAAP EPS
$4.33$5.05 to $5.11$5.08Guidance midpoint
Effective tax rate (GAAP)
17.1%About 14.5%14.5%Guidance
Diluted shares
3.99bnn/a3.98bnQ4 FY2026 diluted shares
Net income
$13.27bnn/a$16.06bnEPS times diluted shares
Interest and other, net
$641mn/a($757m)FY2026 non GAAP amount, which excludes $1.40bn of investment gains
Operating income (GAAP)
$15.37bnn/a$19.54bnNet income grossed up for tax, less interest and other
Operating margin (GAAP)
24.3%28% to 29%, Q1 FY202726.8%Operating income over revenue
FCF
$12.77bnn/a$14.68bnFY2026 FCF margin of 20.2%

Source: 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Scenario analysis FY2028 to FY2030: worst, base and best case

Base case is an estimate under the assumptions in Table 9.4. Its implied price falls below the 9 October 2026 close if revenue growth is under 8.5% per year, operating margin under 27.4% or exit P / E under 23.3x.

Table 9.4 Scenario assumptions and FY2030 outcomes

LineWorstBaseBest
Revenue growth per year, FY2028 to FY2030 (assumption)
2%8%14%
Gross margin (assumption)
62.5%64.0%65.0%
Operating margin (GAAP) (assumption)
22%27%30%
FCF margin (assumption)
19%22%26%
Diluted share count change per year (assumption)
0.0%(0.5)%(1.5)%
Exit P / E on FY2030 EPS (assumption; July month end P / E, FY2022 to FY2026: low 16.1x, average 22.7x, high 34.8x)
16x23x35x
Interest and other, net, per year (assumption)
($757m)($757m)($757m)
Effective tax rate (assumption)
17.0%17.0%17.0%
Starting revenue, FY2027 estimate
$72.80bn$72.80bn$72.80bn
Starting diluted shares, FY2027 estimate
3.98bn3.98bn3.98bn
FY2030 revenue
$77.26bn$91.71bn$107.86bn
FY2030 gross profit
$48.28bn$58.69bn$70.11bn
FY2030 operating income
$17.00bn$24.76bn$32.36bn
FY2030 net income
$13.48bn$19.92bn$26.23bn
FY2030 FCF
$14.68bn$20.18bn$28.04bn
FY2030 diluted shares
3.98bn3.92bn3.81bn
FY2030 diluted EPS
$3.38$5.08$6.89
Implied price, end FY2030, undiscounted
$54$117$241
Against close of $118.39
(54)%(1)%104%
FCF, FY2028 to FY2030 cumulative
$43.18bn$56.15bn$74.22bn

Source: 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026

Figure 9.2 Revenue and diluted EPS, FY2021 to FY2026 filed, FY2027 estimate and scenarios to FY2030

Table 9.5 Scenario paths, FY2028 and FY2029

CaseFiscal yearRevenueOperating incomeFCFDiluted EPS
Worst
FY2028$74.26bn$16.34bn$14.11bn$3.25
Worst
FY2029$75.74bn$16.66bn$14.39bn$3.31
Base
FY2028$78.62bn$21.23bn$17.30bn$4.29
Base
FY2029$84.91bn$22.93bn$18.68bn$4.67
Best
FY2028$82.99bn$24.90bn$21.58bn$5.11
Best
FY2029$94.61bn$28.38bn$24.60bn$5.93

Source: scenario arithmetic on inputs in Table 9.4; starting point from 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 9.6 Best case factors and the filed data point for each

FactorFiled data pointBest case input it supports
Product orders
Q4 FY2026 product orders up 35% year on year, 25% excluding hyperscalers; networking product orders up 40%Revenue growth of 14% per year
AI infrastructure demand from hyperscalers
Orders of $9.3bn in FY2026, $4.0bn of them in Q4; revenue of about $4.0bn in FY2026 and $7.5bn expected in FY2027; about 6% of FY2026 revenue against less than 2% in FY2025Revenue growth of 14% per year
Networking revenue
$34.67bn in FY2026, up 22%; product revenue up 16%, services revenue flatRevenue growth of 14% per year
Contracted future revenue
RPO of $46.73bn at 25 July 2026, up 7%; product RPO up 9%Revenue growth of 14% per year
Supply secured
Inventory purchase commitments of $17.17bn, up 126% from $7.60bn; $14.34bn due within one year; inventories $5.69bn, up 80%Revenue growth of 14% per year
Gross margin
64.5% in FY2026 against 64.9% in FY2025; the 10-K attributes the product margin decrease to product mix and higher memory costsGross margin of 65.0%
Operating expense ratio
GAAP operating margin of 24.3% in FY2026 against 20.8%; research, sales and administrative expenses down 3.4 points of revenue; Q1 FY2027 guidance of 28% to 29%Operating margin of 30%
Capital return
Repurchases of $6.11bn for 76m shares in FY2026; $8.1bn authorization remaining; diluted share count change of (0.3)% in FY2026Share count change of (1.5)% per year

Source: 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io

Table 9.7 Diluted share count change and P / E at July month end, FY2022 to FY2026 and FY2027 estimate

MeasureFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026FY2027 estimate
Diluted share count change
(1.0)%(2.1)%(1.0)%(1.6)%(0.3)%(0.1)%
P / E at July month end (FY2027 estimate: 9 October 2026 close)
16.1x17.0x19.1x26.7x34.8x29.4x

Source: 10-K FY2022, 10-K FY2024, 10-K FY2026, 8-K Exhibit 99.1 of 12 August 2026; SEC filings via SEC-API.io; Market data, 9 October 2026

Sensitivity analysis: growth, exit multiple and operating margin

Exit P / E moves the base case implied price between $81 and $178, revenue growth between $98 and $138, and operating margin between $94 and $130.

Figure 9.3 Sensitivity of implied price and FY2030 EPS to growth, exit multiple and operating margin
Figure 9.4 Implied price range by input, each moved from worst case to best case value

Sources and method

  • Filings: 10-K FY2026 and the 10-K filings for FY2022 to FY2025; 10-Q Q3 FY2026 and the 10-Q filings from Q1 FY2025; DEF 14A of 28 October 2025; 8-K filings of 12 August 2026 (results and FY2027 guidance), 13 May 2026 (results and restructuring plan), 17 December 2025 (annual meeting) and 9 October 2026 (director appointment); Forms 3, 4, 144, 13F and Schedule 13G; peer 10-K and 10-Q filings.
  • SEC filings via SEC-API.io.
  • Market data as of 9 October 2026.
  • Earnings calls of 11 February 2026, 13 May 2026 and 12 August 2026, in indirect speech.
  • Third party research: IDC, Gartner and Dell'Oro Group publications as dated in Table 4.2.
  • Scenario figures are arithmetic outcomes of stated assumptions.

Sources appendix

Every filing referenced in this analysis, sorted by form and then by date. Each accession number links to the filing on sec.gov. Count: 181 filings.

Table A.1 Cisco Systems, Inc. filings, with ownership filings by holders and insiders

FormPeriod or filing dateAccession number
10-K25 Jul 20260000858877-26-000132
10-K26 Jul 20250000858877-25-000111
10-K27 Jul 20240000858877-24-000017
10-K29 Jul 20230000858877-23-000023
10-K30 Jul 20220000858877-22-000013
10-Q25 Apr 20260000858877-26-000078
10-Q24 Jan 20260000858877-26-000021
10-Q25 Oct 20250000858877-25-000171
10-Q26 Apr 20250000858877-25-000033
10-Q25 Jan 20250000858877-25-000007
10-Q26 Oct 20240000858877-24-000030
10-Q29 Oct 20220000858877-22-000025
8-K9 Oct 20260000858877-26-000156
8-K12 Aug 20260000858877-26-000106
8-K13 May 20260000858877-26-000075
8-K27 Apr 20260000858877-26-000057
8-K6 Apr 20260000858877-26-000048
8-K11 Feb 20260000858877-26-000006
8-K17 Dec 20250000858877-25-000199
8-K12 Nov 20250001193125-25-277624
8-K17 Oct 20250000858877-25-000145
8-K13 Aug 20250001193125-25-179820
8-K14 May 20250001193125-25-119864
8-K12 Feb 20250001193125-25-025114
8-K11 Dec 20240000858877-24-000039
8-K14 Aug 20240001193125-24-200636
8-K8 Feb 20240001193125-24-028353
8-K21 Sep 20230001193125-23-239165
8-K17 Aug 20220001193125-22-223250
8-K12 Dec 20170001193125-17-367515
8-K12B25 Jan 20210001193125-21-016255
DEF 14A28 Oct 20250000858877-25-000150
DEF 14A18 Oct 20240001104659-24-109859
Schedule 13G30 Jun 20260000093751-26-000434
Schedule 13G31 Mar 20260002100119-26-000311
Schedule 13G/A30 Jun 20260000102909-26-000916
Schedule 13G/A31 Oct 20250000102909-25-000352
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000019617-26-000325
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000070858-26-000442
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000093751-26-000583
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000315066-26-002260
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000895421-26-000243
13F-HR30 Jun 20260000914208-26-000343
13F-HR30 Jun 20260001214717-26-000008
13F-HR30 Jun 20260001422848-26-000094
13F-HR30 Jun 20260002012383-26-003238
13F-HR30 Jun 20260002100119-26-001527
13F-HR30 Jun 20260002100121-26-001018
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000019617-26-000225
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000070858-26-000315
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000093751-26-000315
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000315066-26-001390
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000895421-26-000183
13F-HR31 Mar 20260000914208-26-000193
13F-HR31 Mar 20260001214717-26-000006
13F-HR31 Mar 20260001422848-26-000041
13F-HR31 Mar 20260002100119-26-001306
13F-HR31 Mar 20260002100121-26-000861
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000019617-26-000083
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000070858-26-000116
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000093751-26-000100
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000102909-26-000031
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000315066-26-000611
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000895421-26-000187
13F-HR31 Dec 20250000914208-26-000071
13F-HR31 Dec 20250001214717-26-000003
13F-HR31 Dec 20250001374170-26-000012
13F-HR31 Dec 20250001422848-26-000005
13F-HR31 Dec 20250002012383-26-000920
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000019617-25-001093
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000070858-26-000025
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000093751-25-000651
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000102909-25-000353
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000315066-25-002929
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000895421-26-000186
13F-HR30 Sep 20250000914208-25-000430
13F-HR30 Sep 20250001214717-25-000016
13F-HR30 Sep 20250001422848-25-000223
13F-HR30 Sep 20250002012383-25-002949
13F-HR/A31 Mar 20260000914208-26-000216
13F-HR/A31 Dec 20250000914208-26-000214
Form 320 May 20260000858877-26-000090
Form 36 Apr 20260000858877-26-000051
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000147
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000148
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000149
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000150
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000151
Form 418 Sep 20260000858877-26-000152
Form 418 Sep 20260002015287-26-000022
Form 417 Sep 20260000858877-26-000140
Form 417 Sep 20260001116268-26-000015
Form 417 Sep 20260001784171-26-000005
Form 412 May 20260000858877-26-000070
Form 47 Apr 20260000858877-26-000052
Form 419 Dec 20250000858877-25-000222
Form 419 Dec 20250000858877-25-000223
Form 419 Dec 20250000858877-25-000224
Form 418 Dec 20250000858877-25-000212
Form 418 Dec 20250000858877-25-000215
Form 418 Dec 20250000858877-25-000217
Form 419 Nov 20250000858877-25-000183
Form 418 Nov 20250000858877-25-000176
Form 418 Nov 20250000858877-25-000182
Form 414 Nov 20250000858877-25-000177
Form 414 Nov 20250000858877-25-000178
Form 14414 Sep 20260001950047-26-009434
Form 14414 Sep 20260001950047-26-009435
Form 14411 Sep 20260001950047-26-009350
Form 1448 Sep 20260001950047-26-009185
Form 14419 Aug 20260001950047-26-008415
Form 14414 Aug 20260001950047-26-008132
Form 14414 Aug 20260001950047-26-008135
Form 14414 Aug 20260001950047-26-008137
Form 14414 Aug 20260001950047-26-008140
Form 14414 Aug 20260001950047-26-008166
Form 14416 Jun 20260001950047-26-006211
Form 14411 Jun 20260001950047-26-005938
Form 14411 Jun 20260001950047-26-005939
Form 1444 Jun 20260001950047-26-005675
Form 14426 May 20260001958244-26-000316
Form 14422 May 20260001950047-26-004990
Form 14422 May 20260001950047-26-005000
Form 14415 May 20260001950047-26-004603
Form 14415 May 20260001950047-26-004605
Form 14415 May 20260001950047-26-004607
Form 14415 May 20260001950047-26-004631
Form 14420 Mar 20260001950047-26-002866
Form 14418 Mar 20260001950047-26-002802
Form 14417 Mar 20260001950047-26-002744
Form 14412 Mar 20260001950047-26-002528
Form 14411 Mar 20260001950047-26-002494
Form 14424 Feb 20260001950047-26-001732
Form 14419 Feb 20260001950047-26-001515
Form 14413 Feb 20260001950047-26-001268
Form 14413 Feb 20260001950047-26-001269
Form 14413 Feb 20260001950047-26-001272
Form 14418 Dec 20250001950047-25-010500
Form 14418 Dec 20250001968582-25-001263
Form 14412 Dec 20250001950047-25-010226
Form 14411 Dec 20250001950047-25-010157
Form 14424 Nov 20250001950047-25-009247
Form 14420 Nov 20250001950047-25-009145
Form 14419 Nov 20250001950047-25-009092
Form 14419 Nov 20250001950047-25-009095
Form 14418 Nov 20250001950047-25-009028
Form 14418 Nov 20250001950047-25-009032
Form 14417 Nov 20250001950047-25-008944
Form 14414 Nov 20250001950047-25-008895
Form 14414 Nov 20250001950047-25-008896
Form 14414 Nov 20250001950047-25-008897
Form 14414 Nov 20250001950047-25-008898
Form 14414 Nov 20250001950047-25-008900

Table A.2 Filings of peers and other companies

CompanyFormPeriod or filing dateAccession number
Alphabet10-K31 Dec 20250001652044-26-000018
Alphabet10-Q30 Jun 20260001652044-26-000071
Amazon10-K31 Dec 20250001018724-26-000004
Amazon10-Q30 Jun 20260001018724-26-000026
Arista Networks10-K31 Dec 20250001596532-26-000013
Arista Networks10-Q30 Jun 20260001596532-26-000175
Arista Networks10-Q30 Jun 20250001596532-25-000216
Broadcom10-K2 Nov 20250001730168-25-000121
Broadcom10-Q2 Aug 20260001730168-26-000080
Broadcom10-Q3 Aug 20250001730168-25-000098
Ciena10-K1 Nov 20250001628280-25-056698
Ciena10-Q1 Aug 20260001628280-26-060361
Ciena10-Q2 Aug 20250000936395-25-000041
Fortinet10-K31 Dec 20250001262039-26-000007
Fortinet10-Q30 Jun 20260001262039-26-000021
Fortinet10-Q30 Jun 20250001262039-25-000028
Hewlett Packard Enterprise10-K31 Oct 20250001645590-25-000130
Hewlett Packard Enterprise10-Q31 Jul 20260001645590-26-000080
Hewlett Packard Enterprise10-Q31 Jul 20250001645590-25-000101
Meta10-K31 Dec 20250001628280-26-003942
Meta10-Q30 Jun 20260001628280-26-050705
Microsoft10-K30 Jun 20260001193125-26-323660
NVIDIA10-K25 Jan 20260001045810-26-000021
NVIDIA10-Q26 Jul 20260001045810-26-000075
NVIDIA10-Q27 Jul 20250001045810-25-000209
Oracle10-K31 May 20260001193125-26-277521
Oracle10-Q31 Aug 20260001193125-26-389274
Palo Alto Networks10-K31 Jul 20260001327567-26-000023

This report is for information only and is not financial advice.