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Stacked bar chart of C3.ai, Inc. revenue by type for the five fiscal years ended 30 April 2022 to 30 April 2026, in millions of dollars, split between subscription and professional services. Total revenue runs $252.8m, $266.8m, $310.6m, $389.1m and $250.3m, and the change on the prior fiscal year is printed between the bars at +5.6%, +16.4%, +25.3% and (35.7)%. Subscription revenue falls from $327.6m to $227.1m in the last year and professional services from $61.4m to $23.2m.

C3.ai (AI): Revenue & Business Model Analysis 2026

C3.ai, Inc. reported revenue of $250.3m for the fiscal year ended 30 April 2026 against $389.1m for the year ended 30 April 2025, a fall of 35.7%, with gross margin down from 60.6% to 30.9%, the loss from operations widening to $(498.5)m and stock based compensation of $263.7m exceeding revenue. Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities were $575.4m at 30 April 2026 against $742.7m a year earlier, and revenue for the quarter ended 31 July 2026 was $52.4m against $70.3m, on a Form 8-K with no Form 10-Q behind it at 8 September 2026. Item 1A of the fiscal 2026 Form 10-K carries 63 risk factors against 61, and guidance for the year ending 30 April 2027 is revenue of $210.0m to $240.0m.

C3.aiEnterprise AI softwareRevenue declineDual class votingFinancial analysisSep 8, 2026·76 min read
Stacked bar chart of Cerebras Systems Inc. share ownership against voting power as of 5 August 2026. Of 237,564,041 shares outstanding, Class A at one vote a share is 47.2%, Class B at twenty votes a share is 47.0% and Class N with no votes is 5.8%. Of 2,344,275,589 votes, Class A is 4.8% and Class B is 95.2%, and Class N is absent from the votes bar because it carries none.

Cerebras (CBRS): Voting Structure

On the cover of its Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, Cerebras Systems Inc. reports 112,247,109 Class A shares, 111,601,424 Class B shares and 13,715,508 Class N shares outstanding as of 5 August 2026. Class A carries one vote a share, Class B carries twenty and Class N carries none, so Class B holds 46.98% of the shares and 95.21% of the votes. No proxy statement of any kind has been filed and no annual meeting has been held, so the reportable record is the charter, which sets no time based and no ownership based sunset on Class B, the cover page share counts and the fifteen Schedules 13D and 13G that holders file for themselves.

Cerebras SystemsDual class sharesVoting powerSchedule 13GCorporate governanceSep 8, 2026·25 min read
Paired bar chart of customer concentration at Cerebras Systems Inc., the largest customer in each period against all customers disclosed at 10% or more. On revenue the largest customer is 85% for FY2024, 62% for FY2025, 63% for the March 2026 quarter and 34% for the June 2026 quarter, against 85%, 86%, 74% and 76% for all customers disclosed. On accounts receivable the largest holder is 91% at 31 December 2024, 78% at 31 December 2025, 41% at 31 March 2026 and 57% at 30 June 2026, against 91%, 78%, 86% and 76% for all holders disclosed.

Cerebras (CBRS): First Public Quarters

Cerebras Systems Inc. reported revenue of $180.1 million for the quarter ended 30 June 2026, 74.3% above the same quarter of 2025, and an operating loss of $(477.2) million carrying $377.0 million of share based compensation. No Form 10-K has been filed, so the audited record stops at 31 December 2025 inside the IPO prospectus, at revenue of $510.0 million for FY2025 and $290.3 million for FY2024. The risk factors put Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence at 34% of revenue in the June 2026 quarter against 70% a year earlier, and Class B carries twenty votes a share and holds 95.2% of the votes on 47.0% of the shares.

Cerebras SystemsAI infrastructureCustomer concentrationInitial public offeringFinancial analysisSep 8, 2026·58 min read
Two panels of stacked horizontal bars for CoreWeave, Inc. at 31 January 2026, 15 April 2026 and 31 July 2026. The left panel gives the share of shares outstanding, where Class A runs 79.7%, 81.6% and 83.2% against Class B at 20.3%, 18.4% and 16.8%. The right panel gives the share of votes, where Class A runs 28.2%, 30.7% and 33.1% against Class B at 71.8%, 69.3% and 66.9%. Class A carries one vote per share and Class B ten.

CoreWeave (CRWV): Ownership and Votes

CoreWeave, Inc. reported 458,871,690 Class A shares and 92,664,912 Class B shares outstanding as of 31 July 2026. Class A carries one vote per share and Class B ten, so Class B was 16.8% of the shares and 66.9% of the votes. The proxy statement of 22 April 2026 puts the twelve executive officers and directors at 5.38% of Class A, all of the Class B and 72.32% of total voting power, with Michael Intrator alone at 38.70%. Thirty three filings in the Schedule 13G family name the company as subject and no Schedule 13D has ever been filed against it.

CoreWeaveThree share classesVoting powerSchedule 13GForm 13FSep 8, 2026·25 min read
Grouped column chart of CoreWeave, Inc. insider filings by month for the twelve months to 7 September 2026, with a deep blue column for Forms 4 and a pale blue column for Forms 144 in each month. Forms 4 peak at 55 in October 2025 and Forms 144 at 58 in June 2026; September 2026 covers filings to 7 September only and carries 2 and 3. The totals are 403 Forms 4 and 454 Forms 144, counted as filings rather than as people.

CoreWeave (CRWV): Insider Filings 2026

People and entities subject to Section 16 filed 403 Forms 4, two Forms 4/A and three Forms 3 naming CoreWeave, Inc. as issuer in the twelve months to 7 September 2026, alongside 454 Forms 144. Table I of those Forms 4 records 4,545 lines under code S, an open market or private sale, over 77,752,779 shares, and no line at all under code P. The Rule 10b5-1 checkbox is ticked on 192 of the 403 filings. Magnetar Financial LLC accounts for 119 of them and 45,028,526 of the shares disposed.

CoreWeaveInsider filingsForm 4Rule 10b5-1Form 144Sep 8, 2026·19 min read
Grouped column chart of the share of CoreWeave, Inc. revenue held by the largest, second largest and third largest customer in FY2022, FY2023, FY2024, FY2025, the quarter ended 31 March 2026 and the quarter ended 30 June 2026, as filed. The largest customer's share runs 16%, 35%, 62%, 67%, 45% and 36%; the second rank runs 13%, 21%, 15%, below 10%, 20% and 26%. Shares the filings marked as below 10 per cent are drawn as absent bars. A note records that Item 1A of the FY2025 Form 10-K names Microsoft as the top customer at approximately 67% of FY2025 revenue, the one period in the series tied to a named customer.

CoreWeave (CRWV): 2026 Revenue Analysis, Top Customer Concentration & Exposure

CoreWeave, Inc. disclosed in Item 8 of its Form 10-K for the year ended 31 December 2025 that its largest customer took 67% of FY2025 revenue, against 62% in FY2024 and 35% in FY2023, and its Forms 10-Q put the top rank at 45% in the quarter ended 31 March 2026 and 36% in the quarter ended 30 June 2026. Item 1A of the same 10-K names Microsoft as that top customer for FY2025. Remaining performance obligations were $103.7 billion at 30 June 2026 against $60.7 billion at 31 December 2025, debt on the balance sheet was $35.1 billion, and the June quarter carried an operating loss of $(49) million on revenue of $2.6 billion.

CoreWeaveAI cloud infrastructureCustomer concentrationRemaining performance obligationsFinancial analysisSep 8, 2026·66 min read
Grouped bar chart of lululemon athletica inc. comparable sales by segment for fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2025, the first two quarters of fiscal 2026 and the second quarter alone, as a per cent change on the prior period, with a dashed line for total comparable sales. The Americas bar runs from 28% in fiscal 2022 to (1%) in fiscal 2024, (3%) in fiscal 2025 and (12%) in the quarter ended 2 August 2026, while China Mainland stays positive throughout at 17%, 39%, 25%, 20% and 8% before reaching (2%) in that quarter. The total line falls from 25% to (9%).

lululemon (LULU) Q2 FY2026: earnings, tariffs, proxy

lululemon athletica inc. reported net revenue of $2,415.6 million for the quarter ended 2 August 2026, below the $2.450 billion to $2.475 billion guided on 4 June 2026, with comparable sales down 9% and gross margin at 60.5% including 560 basis points from $134.5 million of refunds of tariffs paid under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. For fiscal 2025, the year ended 1 February 2026, net revenue was $11,102.6 million, 4.9% above the prior year, and gross margin fell 260 basis points to 56.6%. Shares outstanding on the cover pages fell from 110,482,671 as of 11 March 2026 to 105,594,064 as of 28 August 2026, and the 2026 annual meeting was a contested solicitation.

lululemon athleticaActivewearComparable salesTariffsFinancial analysisSep 7, 2026·152 min read
Chart of Palantir Technologies' GAAP and adjusted operating margin for FY2023, FY2024, FY2025 and the two 2026 quarters, as a per cent of revenue, with the GAAP bar beside the adjusted bar in each period. The GAAP margin moves from 5% in FY2023 to 47% in the quarter to 30 June 2026 and the adjusted margin from 28% to 62%, and annotations give the bridge between them at $512.8m, 81% of the adjusted figure, in FY2023 and $282.5m, 24% of it, in the June 2026 quarter. Adjusted income from operations adds back stock based compensation and the employer payroll taxes on it.

Financial analysis of Palantir Technologies, the quarter to 30 June 2026 against the FY2025 record

Palantir reported revenue of $1,935.5 million for the quarter to 30 June 2026, 93% above the same quarter of 2025, and income from operations of $912.0 million at a 47.1% operating margin against 26.8%. Stock based compensation was $265.2 million, 13.7% of revenue, and management's adjusted income from operations of $1,194.5 million is that charge plus $17.3 million of employer payroll taxes added to the GAAP figure, a bridge of $282.5 million. At the 6 April 2026 record date the 1,005,000 Class F shares were 0.04% of the shares outstanding and carried 27.7% of the voting power on the election of directors.

Palantir TechnologiesGovernment softwareArtificial intelligenceStock based compensationFinancial analysisSep 7, 2026·135 min read
Chart of Meta Platforms' quarterly revenue and income from operations for the six quarters from March 2025 to June 2026, in USD million, with income from operations set inside each revenue bar and the operating margin plotted beneath. Revenue rises from $42,314m to $60,801m and income from operations moves from $17,555m to $18,775m, while the operating margin holds between 40.1% and 43.0% through March 2026 and then falls to 30.9% in the quarter to 30 June 2026.

Financial analysis of Meta Platforms, the quarter to 30 June 2026 against the FY2025 record

Meta Platforms reported revenue of $60.80 billion for the quarter to 30 June 2026, 28% above the same quarter of 2025, and income from operations of $18.78 billion, 8% lower, at an operating margin of 30.9% against 43.0%. Costs and expenses rose 55%, with research and development up 67% to $21.66 billion and $2.40 billion of charges related to legal proceedings inside a general and administrative line that rose 111%. Advertising sold on the Family of Apps was 97.6% of the quarter's revenue and Reality Labs earned $431 million against an operating loss of $4.62 billion. Capital expenditure was $50.92 billion in the six months against a 2026 outlook of $130 billion to $145 billion raised twice since January, lease obligations signed and not yet commenced reached $278.99 billion and noncancelable contractual commitments $349.31 billion. Net cash was $6.60 billion at 30 June 2026 against $48.99 billion at the end of 2024. At the 1 April 2026 record date Mark Zuckerberg held 13.5% of the shares and 60.8% of the combined vote, and all ten shareholder proposals were defeated at the annual meeting of 27 May 2026.

Meta PlatformsDigital advertisingSocial mediaArtificial intelligenceFinancial analysisSep 7, 2026·116 min read
Scatter chart of capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue on a log scale against operating margin for the six months to 30 June 2026. Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, EchoStar, Iridium and Viasat cluster at 2% to 19% of revenue reinvested and positive margins, Rocket Lab sits at 12% and a negative 26% margin, and SpaceX sits alone at the right of the chart, spending $2.28 of capital for every $1.00 of revenue at a negative 16.7% operating margin.

Financial analysis of SpaceX, the three audited years and the first quarter as a public company

In the quarter to 30 June 2026 the Connectivity segment, which sells Starlink satellite broadband, produced 54.9% of SpaceX's revenue, the AI segment 32.8% and the Space segment, which launches rockets and builds spacecraft, 12.3%. Launching rockets and building spacecraft produced 21.9% of the $18,674m of revenue reported for 2025. The Connectivity segment earned a 37.7% operating margin in the first half of 2026, higher than any listed satellite operator in the comparator set, while the Space and AI segments lost $4,930m between them and 82.7% of $28,476m of half year capital expenditure went to the AI segment. Elon Musk holds about 46% of the economics and about 85% of the vote through a 10:1 dual class structure with no sunset. At the 3 September 2026 close of $149.74 the market pays 76.5 times annualised revenue, an order of magnitude above every profitable operator in the comparator set, and the terminal multiple moves the implied value per share nearly twice as far as the largest operating driver.

SpaceXSatellite communicationsAerospaceArtificial intelligenceFinancial analysisSep 6, 2026·182 min read
Stacked bars of Tesla's income from operations for each year from 2021 to 2025, split between automotive regulatory credits and the income earned without them, with a line over them showing the credit share of income from operations rising from 22.5% in 2021 to 45.8% in 2025 even as the credit line itself fell to $1,993m.

Financial analysis of Tesla, FY2025 and the first half of 2026

Regulatory credits supplied 45.8% of Tesla's 2025 income from operations; excluding them from both sides, the automotive segment gross margin fell 9 basis points in 2025 against a 71 basis point fall as reported. Capital expenditure in the first half of 2026 reached 97.1% of the whole of 2025, at 2.58 times depreciation, taking free cash flow to $352m for the half and the June quarter to an outflow of $1,092m. Tesla's enterprise value is 14.4 times 2025 revenue against about 1.0 times for General Motors and Ford, and moving the terminal multiple alone from 6.0 to 14.0 times moves the base case value $250 a share.

TeslaElectric vehiclesAutomotiveEnergy storageFinancial analysisSep 4, 2026·142 min read
Bars of ExxonMobil average capital employed rising from $223bn in 2021 to $306bn in 2025, with two lines over them showing return on average capital employed peaking at 24.9% in 2022 and falling each year to 9.3% in 2025, below the 10.9% of 2021.

Financial analysis of Exxon Mobil, FY2025 and the first half of 2026

ExxonMobil earned $18.7bn in the first half of 2026 against $14.8bn a year earlier, with the indicative refining margin at $22.6 a barrel against $12.6 and oil equivalent production 37 thousand barrels a day lower. The full year behind it returned 9.3% on average capital employed against 12.7% in 2024, and distributions of $37.5bn ran $13.9bn ahead of the cash left after capital spending. On that return the stock trades at 10.5 times EV/EBITDA against a peer median of 6.1 times, on essentially the same return on capital as Shell and TotalEnergies.

Exxon MobilOil and gasIntegrated energy majorsEnergyFinancial analysisSep 4, 2026·122 min read
Bars of CVS Health total revenues rising from $292bn in 2021 to $402bn in 2025, with two lines over them showing adjusted operating margin falling from 5.90% to 3.59% and reported operating margin from 4.56% to 1.16%.

Financial analysis of CVS Health, FY2025 and the first half of 2026

CVS Health compounded revenue at 8.3% a year for five years to $402,067m and shrank adjusted operating income 4.3% a year and Adjusted EPS 5.3% a year while doing it, excluding $31,034m from operating income over the period, 39.2% of the $79,217m of adjusted operating income it reported. Of the 128 basis point improvement in the Health Care Benefits medical benefit ratio that the stock has rerated on, 58 basis points came from underwriting and 70 came from a larger prior year reserve release. Goodwill has exceeded book equity in every one of the five years, and the four reportable segments bill $473,630m against $402,067m of consolidated revenue, because one CVS unit sells to another.

CVS HealthHealth insurancePharmacy benefit managersHealthcareFinancial analysisSep 4, 2026·110 min read
Paired bars for FY2022 to FY2026 comparing Walmart's GAAP diluted earnings per share with its adjusted earnings per share, showing GAAP below adjusted in each of the first four years and crossing above it in FY2026 at $2.73 against $2.64.

Financial analysis of Walmart, fiscal 2026 and the first half of fiscal 2027

Walmart's FY2026 GAAP diluted earnings per share rose 13.3% while adjusted earnings per share rose 5.2%, and the whole of the gap is a $2,869m swing in the marks on equity and other investments. Free cash flow of $14,923m no longer covers the $15,595m paid out in dividends and buybacks, a cover of 0.96 times against 1.70 times in FY2024. The raised FY2027 guide implies second half adjusted operating income growth of 0.8% to 3.7% against 13.6% delivered in the first half, because a $2.9bn tariff refund is being reinvested in price, and at $106.54 the stock trades on 37.6 times the midpoint of that guide.

WalmartRetailFinancial analysisCapital allocationSep 3, 2026·96 min read
Grouped bars for 2021 to 2025 and for the first halves of 2025 and 2026 showing Amazon's operating cash flow rising to $140bn in 2025 while capital expenditure net of proceeds rises faster to $128bn, leaving free cash flow of $11bn in 2025 and negative $25bn in the first half of 2026.

Financial analysis of Amazon, FY2025 and the first half of 2026

Amazon's cash purchases of property and equipment rose 58.8% to $131,819m in FY2025 and took 94.5% of operating cash flow, cutting free cash flow measured before proceeds and incentives 76.6% to $7,695m, and capital spending reached 135% of operating cash flow in the first half of 2026. The profit that funds it sits in one eighteenth of the revenue: AWS is 18.0% of net sales and 57.0% of consolidated operating income, and its margin fell from 37.0% to 35.4% while it grew 19.7%, slower than every rival cloud line on file. Reported earnings have detached from operations at the same time, with $53.4bn of the $80.9bn of June 2026 quarter pretax income nonoperating, so trailing twelve month earnings of $12.39 a share become $6.65 on a core basis and the multiple paid goes from 20.6 times to 38.4 times.

AmazonCloud computingE-commerceFinancial analysisCapital allocationSep 3, 2026·96 min read
Paired bars for FY2021 to FY2025 comparing Berkshire's GAAP net earnings with its operating earnings after tax, showing GAAP swinging from a loss in FY2022 to $89.9bn in FY2023 while operating earnings stay between $27.6bn and $44.5bn.

Financial analysis of Berkshire Hathaway, FY2025 and the first half of 2026

Berkshire's FY2025 revenue was flat at $371,444m while earnings before income taxes fell $27,917m to $82,459m, almost all of it in investment and equity method marks. Operating earnings after tax fell 6.2% to $44,486m, the only decline of the five years, and core return on average equity of 6.3% is the lowest of the nine property and casualty filers compared here, because McLane and Pilot Travel Centers supply 25.3% of segment revenue and 1.7% of segment pretax earnings. Capital policy changed with the chief executive: nothing was repurchased in 2025 and $4,762m of stock had been bought by 30 June 2026 after the 4 March restart.

Berkshire HathawayProperty and casualty insuranceFinancial analysisCapital allocationSep 2, 2026·86 min read
Grouped bars of Microsoft's operating cash flow, capital expenditure and free cash flow for FY2022 to FY2026, with capital expenditure rising to $115,948 million in FY2026 while free cash flow falls to $66,987 million.

Financial analysis of Microsoft, FY2026: capital intensity against a record margin

Microsoft grew FY2026 revenue 17.8% to $331,839 million and lifted operating margin to a five year high of 46.8%, but capital expenditure of $115,948 million took 34.9% of revenue and cut free cash flow for a second year to $66,987 million, turning $5,242 million of net cash into $(30,045) million of net debt. Reported diluted EPS growth of 31.6% falls to 17.1% once the OpenAI and other investment gains come out, and OpenAI alone supplied 7.3% of revenue and most of the $678 billion commercial backlog. The case rests on whether that signed backlog converts faster than the datacentre depreciates.

MicrosoftFinancial analysisCloud infrastructureAI infrastructureSep 2, 2026·58 min read
UnitedHealth Group revenue rising from $287B in FY2021 to $448B in FY2025 while operating margin falls from 8.3% to 4.2%.

Financial analysis of UnitedHealth Group, FY2025

UnitedHealth Group grew FY2025 revenue 11.8% to $447.6B and still lost 41% of its operating income, which fell to $19.0B as the medical care ratio rose 360 basis points to 89.15% and OptumHealth swung to a $(278)M operating loss. Benchmarked against six peers, roughly two fifths of the damage is sector wide and three fifths is company specific. Insiders bought $32.1M in the May 2025 trough and have bought nothing since.

UnitedHealthManaged careFinancial analysisMedicare Advantage10-KAug 31, 2026·102 min read
Salesforce, Microsoft, Oracle, SAP and Adobe share prices indexed to 100 five years ago: Salesforce ends at 96, below where it started, against 170 for the S&P 500.

Financial Analysis August 2026: Salesforce, Inc.

Salesforce has grown and lost value at the same time for two years: revenue is up 11.2% over the trailing year and free cash flow is a record 15.2 billion dollars, yet the shares sit 29% below their December 2024 peak and five years of holding them has returned (4.2%) against 70% for the S&P 500. Reported profit is flattered by 4.2 billion dollars of unrealised marks on private holdings, and a 25 billion dollar debt funded repurchase has replaced net cash with 27.9 billion of net debt.

SalesforceEnterprise softwareFinancial analysisValuationAug 30, 2026·29 min read
Apple's quarterly net sales over the seven quarters to June 2026, peaking at $143.8 billion in the December quarter, with gross margin on the right axis rising from 46.9% to 50.1%.

Financial Analysis August 2026: Apple Inc

Apple's record year came from hardware margin, not the services mix that usually drives it: over nine months products margin gained 2.96 percentage points while services added 0.82. At 36.5 times earnings the share price needs free cash flow to compound at 11.9% a year for a decade, against the 8.0% it managed over the past five.

AppleConsumer electronicsFinancial analysisValuationAug 29, 2026·24 min read
Grouped column chart of Sandisk revenue and cost of revenue for fiscal 2022 to fiscal 2026. Revenue falls from $9.75bn to $6.09bn then rises to $20.25bn, while cost of revenue stays between $5.14bn and $6.51bn across all five years.

Financial analysis of Sandisk, August 2026

Sandisk turned a $1.6bn loss into $11.4bn of net income in twelve months while its payments to the Kioxia joint venture stayed flat at $3.4bn to $3.6bn, so almost all of the gain is price rather than volume or cost. Ten New Business Model contracts now pre-sell more than half of fiscal 2027 bits at around 80% gross margin, with $31.3bn more signed after year end. The bull case rests on NAND staying scarce, and in the eight weeks to 27 August SK hynix and the Kioxia partnership committed the capacity that ends scarcity.

SandiskNAND flashSemiconductorsFinancial analysisAug 29, 2026·40 min read
Two bar charts: SK hynix revenue rising from $25.1bn in 2023 to $178bn annualised in the first half of 2026, and operating margin moving from minus 23.6% to 74.4% over the same period.

Financial analysis of SK hynix, August 2026

SK hynix earns a 76% operating margin and trades at 8.8x trailing operating profit, but the price requires about $64bn of free cash flow a year from 2029, roughly 3.5x the 2025 outturn. Only 28% of enterprise value is covered by discounted 2027 and 2028 cash flow, so almost three quarters of it rests on years no filing describes. Built from the July 2026 IPO prospectus, all 31 SEC filings and the Q2 earnings call, with every figure converted to US dollars.

SK hynixMemory semiconductorsHBMFinancial analysisAug 29, 2026·34 min read
Two stacked bars comparing Alphabet's share classes: Class B is 6.9 percent of shares outstanding but 58.9 percent of voting power, while non-voting Class C is 45 percent of shares.

Alphabet's 2026 annual meeting: the vote that was settled before it started

Re-running Alphabet's 2026 ballot without its ten-vote Class B shares reverses two outcomes: a majority of unaffiliated voting power opposed the executive pay programme, and support for one share, one vote rises from 31% to an estimated 96%. All thirteen management items passed and all ten shareholder proposals failed, five of them on AI.

AlphabetCorporate governanceProxy votingShareholder proposalsExecutive compensationAug 28, 2026·16 min read
Quarterly operating cash flow, capital expenditure and free cash flow for Alphabet from Q3 2025 to Q2 2026, showing free cash flow falling from $24.5bn to minus $5.9bn as capex overtakes operating cash flow.

Financial analysis of Alphabet, August 2026

Alphabet's free cash flow turned negative in the June 2026 quarter, at minus $5.9bn, the first negative quarter on record, as capital expenditure quadrupled to $132bn over the last twelve months and buybacks stopped. This analysis reads all seventeen 10-Q filings, five 10-Ks, eighteen 8-Ks, 185 insider forms and five earnings call transcripts, and finds the stock is discounting the bull case rather than the base case.

AlphabetFinancial analysisAI infrastructureCloudCapital expenditureAug 28, 2026·39 min read
Stacked bars showing how many issuers in each layer of the AI infrastructure stack report an acute, elevated, or watch level constraint, with all six memory names acute.

AI infrastructure supply and demand: what 42 issuers disclosed

Thirty of 42 AI infrastructure issuers name a supply or capacity constraint in their last two reported quarters, but only five wrote that language into a risk factor. Memory is the binding constraint today and every memory name is sold out; from 2027 it becomes electricity. The gap between contracted demand and deliverable supply is clearing on price rather than volume.

AI infrastructureSemiconductorsMemoryData centersSupply chainAug 28, 2026·17 min read
Horizontal bar chart of Jane Street's twelve largest Form 13F positions for Q2 2026, led by a $116.1 billion SPY put line, with bars colored by put options, call options and long shares.

Inside Jane Street's Q2 2026 Form 13F: cover page and top 50 positions

Jane Street Group's Form 13F-HR for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 reports 14,718 positions worth $1.206 trillion. This post lists the filing's cover page, the split between puts, calls and long shares, and the 50 largest positions with CUSIP, share count and share of portfolio, along with the API queries that return the data.

Jane StreetForm 13FInstitutional holdingsMarket makingAug 28, 2026·5 min read
Column chart titled 'Five quarters, five times the operating income', showing Lumentum non-GAAP operating income rising from $99.8m in Q1 FY2026 to $167.7m, $260.7m and $368.8m, with a hatched fifth bar at approximately $500m implied by Q1 FY2027 guidance.

Financial analysis of Lumentum, fiscal 2026

Lumentum's fiscal 2026 revenue rose 83.2% to $3.01bn and non-GAAP operating margin reached 29.8%, while a $7.8bn non-cash charge on converting notes to equity produced a $6.9bn GAAP net loss. A five-year ratio analysis, a peer comparison against Coherent, Fabrinet, Ciena and Applied Optoelectronics, twelve months of 8-K filings including NVIDIA's $2.0bn preferred investment, and three-year revenue, margin and free-cash-flow scenarios with sensitivity grids.

LumentumOptical networkingAI infrastructureFinancial analysisScenario analysisAug 27, 2026·14 min read
Stacked bar chart of NVIDIA quarterly revenue by market platform, Q1 FY26 through Q3 FY27 guidance, rising from $44.1bn to $108.0bn

Financial analysis of NVIDIA, August 2026

NVIDIA is no longer expensive on earnings. It is expensive on the durability of those earnings. At 18.4x forward EPS it trades below AMD, Broadcom and Texas Instruments, and the whole debate is whether $279bn of committed supply is a demand signal or an inventory bomb. Five years of financials and ratios, sector benchmarking, market history and forward scenarios.

NVIDIASemiconductorsFinancial analysisAug 27, 2026·15 min read
SK hynix Q2 2026 earnings card: revenue $52.1bn, up 256.8% year over year, with revenue growth by product showing NAND Flash +364.5%, DRAM +232.8% and Others -1.1%

SK hynix Q2 2026 earnings: revenue more than triples

Q2 revenue of $52.1bn, up 256.8% year over year and 50.9% quarter over quarter, with H1 at $86.6bn. NAND Flash grew 364.5% and DRAM 232.8%. $34.9bn of the $61.7bn net profit is a non-cash valuation gain on financial instruments rather than operations, and long-term investment assets went from $9.5bn to $56.0bn in six months. China was 24.8% of Q2 revenue, and the BIS equipment license for the China fabs covers 2026 only. The company is targeting to double wafer output within five years.

SK hynixSemiconductorsQuarterly earningsAug 27, 2026
Opening of the Nebius research note: contents rail, title, and the headline metrics strip showing share price $213.93, enterprise value $62.5B and ARR $3.0B

Financial analysis of Nebius, August 2026 earnings

Nebius is what was left of Yandex after it sold its Russian operations in July 2024. It rebuilt around an AI cloud business that first booked revenue in 2023 and now accounts for 98% of segment revenue. Ten sections from the filings: historicals, the quarterly inflection, ratios, sector position, scenarios and sensitivities.

NebiusAI cloudFinancial analysisAug 26, 2026·12 min read