October 6, 2026·30 min read

Oracle Corporation (ORCL), Financial Analysis

Insights derived from analysing SEC filings. Independent analysis, not a publication of the SEC.

Figures come from Forms 10-K for FY2022 to FY2026, Forms 10-Q from Q1 FY2025 to Q1 FY2027, and Forms 8-K from Sep 2024 to Sep 2026 with their quarterly earnings exhibits 99.1. Other sources are proxy statements of 2025 and 2026, a Schedule 13G, Forms 13F and Forms 3, 4 and 144 filed under central index key 1341439, and comparable filings of six peers. The Sources appendix lists accession numbers of the Oracle and peer filings used. Market prices are closing prices of 5 October 2026.

Revenue TTM
$71.78bn
up 29.6% in Q1 FY2027
Remaining performance obligations
$664bn
at 31 Aug 2026; $455bn a year earlier
Cloud infrastructure Q1 FY2027
$7.39bn
up 121% on Q1 FY2026
Free cash flow TTM
$(28.7)bn
capital spending $75.7bn
Share price
$142.48
close of 5 Oct 2026, 17.6x FY2027 non GAAP EPS guidance
Scenario values, end FY2030
$58 / 207 / 409
worst / base / best case per share

Key conclusions

  1. Contracted backlog is 9.3x TTM revenue. Remaining performance obligations (RPO) were $664bn at 31 Aug 2026, against $455bn a year earlier. Q1 FY2027 revenue (to 31 Aug 2026) was $19.35bn, up 30%. Cloud infrastructure revenue was $7.39bn, up 121%. Guidance is Q2 growth of 30% to 34% and FY2027 revenue of at least $90bn.
  2. Capital spending exceeds operating cash flow. Q1 FY2027 capital spending was $28.50bn and operating cash flow $23.10bn, of which $11.36bn was customer prepayments. TTM free cash flow was $(28.72)bn. Management guided FY2027 capital spending of $90bn to $95bn on the earnings call.
  3. Oracle funds the build with debt, leases and new shares. Borrowings were $125.34bn and lease liabilities $43.81bn at 31 Aug 2026. A further $288bn of data center leases start between Q2 FY2027 and FY2029. In Q1 FY2027 Oracle sold about 141m shares for $19.91bn, about $141 a share (computed).
  4. Core operating margin is stable at about 36%. TTM core operating margin was 36.3% and FY2024 36.0%. Cloud and software segment margin fell from 60% to 55% in Q1 as depreciation rose to 16.3% of revenue. Lower sales and marketing and R&D ratios offset this.
  5. Shares trade at 17.6x FY2027 non GAAP EPS guidance of $8.10. At $142.48 the P/E is 22.3x TTM GAAP EPS of $6.38 and 24.0x TTM core EPS of $5.94. Price is 54% below the 52 week high close of $313.00. Larry Ellison holds 38.2% of shares.
  6. Scenario values for end FY2030 are $58 (worst), $207 (base) and $409 (best) per share. Current price is 13.8x base case and 9.0x best case FY2030 core EPS. In the sensitivity analysis, the volume of new contracts and the exit P/E move value the most.

Views on these results differ. Arguments for a lower valuation cite negative free cash flow, $125bn of borrowings, lease commitments, share issues and reliance on a small number of large AI customers (10-K risk factors). Arguments for a higher valuation cite RPO of $664bn, customer prepayments, cloud infrastructure growth of 121% and a stable core margin.

1 Revenue and business model

Oracle sells database and application software as cloud services and as licenses with support, plus hardware and services. Cloud infrastructure (OCI) rents computing capacity, including GPU capacity for AI training and inference. Cloud applications include Fusion, NetSuite and Oracle Health. Cloud was 60% of Q1 FY2027 revenue.

  • Mix shift. Cloud infrastructure was 13% of revenue in FY2024 and 38% in Q1 FY2027. Software support revenue was $19.74bn TTM, flat for three years. Customers moving support contracts to Oracle Cloud added $5.4bn of annualized cloud revenue over three years (10-K).
  • Customers. The 10-K attributes RPO growth to "certain significant cloud contracts" and states that some OCI offerings are concentrated among a few large customers. The Q2 FY2026 release names Meta and NVIDIA as new commitments. Each customer was below 10% of revenue in FY2026.
  • Capacity. Oracle delivered 850 MW of data center capacity and more than 300,000 GPUs in Q1 FY2027 (release). It operates about 181 data center locations, substantially all leased. Multicloud database services run inside Microsoft Azure, Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud.
  • People and management. About 141,000 employees at 31 May 2026. Clayton Magouyrk and Michael Sicilia became CEOs in Sep 2025 and Hilary Maxson CFO in Apr 2026.
Figure 1.1. Revenue and margins FY2022 to FY2027E
Figure 1.2. Revenue by offering
Table 1.1. Revenue by offering
OfferingFY2024FY2025FY2026TTMFY2026 y/yQ1 FY2027 y/y
Cloud infrastructure6.84bn10.23bn18.10bn22.14bn76.9%120.7%
Cloud applications12.93bn14.27bn15.89bn16.27bn11.3%9.9%
Software support19.61bn19.52bn19.80bn19.74bn1.4%(1.2%)
Software license5.08bn5.20bn4.74bn4.63bn(8.9%)(14.5%)
Hardware3.07bn2.94bn3.08bn3.19bn5.0%15.5%
Services5.43bn5.23bn5.74bn5.81bn9.7%4.8%
Cloud (infrastructure plus applications)19.77bn24.51bn33.99bn38.41bn38.7%61.5%
Total revenue52.96bn57.40bn67.36bn71.78bn17.3%29.6%
TTM = FY2026 plus Q1 FY2027 less Q1 FY2026. Presentation of the FY2026 10-K; earlier filings combined cloud services with license support.
Figure 1.3. Remaining performance obligations and cloud infrastructure revenue by quarter
Table 1.2. Segment margin by business
$FY2024FY2025FY2026TTMQ1 FY2026Q1 FY2027
Cloud and software28.51bn30.93bn34.47bn36.14bn7.69bn9.36bn
Hardware1.92bn1.92bn2.02bn2.02bn447m452m
Services916m993m1.53bn1.65bn332m445m
Cloud and software margin, % of its revenue64.1%62.8%58.9%57.6%59.6%54.5%
Operating income, GAAP15.35bn17.68bn20.61bn23.06bn4.28bn6.73bn
Segment margin is revenue less direct costs and sales and marketing. It is stated before R&D, general and administrative costs, stock compensation, amortization, restructuring and interest.
Table 1.3. Revenue by region
RegionFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026FY2026 shareQ1 FY2027 y/y
Americas23.68bn31.23bn33.12bn36.34bn44.48bn66.0%41.9%
Europe, Middle East and Africa12.01bn12.11bn13.03bn14.03bn15.30bn22.7%7.0%
Asia Pacific6.75bn6.62bn6.81bn7.04bn7.58bn11.3%7.0%
United States revenue was $39.84bn in FY2026, 59% of total. Americas supplied 88% of FY2026 growth in constant currency (10-K).

2 Financial analysis and ratios

Q1 FY2027 revenue rose 29.6% to $19.35bn and GAAP operating income rose 57% to $6.73bn. Core operating income, before amortization and restructuring, was $7.02bn, up 37%. Diluted EPS was $1.56 against $1.01. Depreciation was $3.16bn, 16.3% of revenue against 9.1% a year earlier.

Figure 2.1. Quarterly revenue and margins
Table 2.1. Income statement; TTM = FY2026 plus Q1 FY2027 less Q1 FY2026
$FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026TTM
Revenue42.44bn49.95bn52.96bn57.40bn67.36bn71.78bn
Cloud and software expenses(5.21)bn(7.76)bn(9.43)bn(11.57)bn(17.60)bn(20.39)bn
Hardware and services expenses(3.66)bn(5.80)bn(5.72)bn(5.36)bn(5.42)bn(5.48)bn
Sales and marketing(8.05)bn(8.83)bn(8.27)bn(8.65)bn(8.33)bn(8.08)bn
Research and development(7.22)bn(8.62)bn(8.92)bn(9.86)bn(10.27)bn(10.18)bn
General and administrative(1.32)bn(1.58)bn(1.55)bn(1.60)bn(1.62)bn(1.62)bn
Amortization of intangible assets(1.15)bn(3.58)bn(3.01)bn(2.31)bn(1.67)bn(1.45)bn
Restructuring and other(4.90)bn(680)m(718)m(374)m(1.84)bn(1.52)bn
Operating income10.93bn13.09bn15.35bn17.68bn20.61bn23.06bn
Interest expense(2.76)bn(3.51)bn(3.51)bn(3.58)bn(4.60)bn(5.10)bn
Non operating income, net(522)m(462)m(98.0)m60.0m3.55bn3.78bn
Income tax(932)m(623)m(1.27)bn(1.72)bn(2.47)bn(2.81)bn
Net income6.72bn8.50bn10.47bn12.44bn17.09bn18.92bn
Diluted EPS, $2.413.073.714.345.836.38
Diluted shares, bn2.7862.7662.8232.8662.9142.937
Oracle reports expenses by business in place of cost of revenue. FY2022 restructuring includes litigation charges. FY2026 non operating income includes a $2.7bn Ampere gain. TTM shares: four quarter average.
Table 2.2. What changed: FY2026 against FY2025 and Q1 FY2027 against Q1 FY2026
Full yearQ1
$FY2025FY2026ChangeQ1 FY2026Q1 FY2027Change
Revenue57.40bn67.36bn17.3%14.93bn19.35bn29.6%
Cloud infrastructure10.23bn18.10bn76.9%3.35bn7.39bn120.7%
Cloud applications14.27bn15.89bn11.3%3.84bn4.22bn9.9%
Software license and support24.72bn24.54bn(0.7%)5.72bn5.55bn(3.0%)
Operating income17.68bn20.61bn16.6%4.28bn6.73bn57.3%
Net income12.44bn17.09bn37.3%2.93bn4.76bn62.6%
Operating cash flow20.82bn31.98bn53.6%8.14bn23.10bn183.8%
Capital expenditures21.22bn55.66bn162.4%8.50bn28.50bn235.2%
Depreciation3.87bn7.62bn97.1%1.35bn3.16bn133.6%
Stock based compensation4.67bn4.81bn2.9%1.12bn1.13bn0.3%
Cloud and software segment margin62.8%58.9%(3.9) pts59.6%54.5%(5.0) pts
Core operating margin35.5%35.8%0.3 pts34.2%36.3%2.1 pts
Q1 FY2027 = three months to 31 Aug 2026. Segment margin as defined under Table 1.2.
Table 2.3. Core earnings reconciliation
$FY2026TTM
Operating income, GAAP20.61bn23.06bn
Add: amortization of intangible assets1.67bn1.45bn
Add: restructuring and other1.84bn1.52bn
Operating income, core24.12bn26.03bn
Income before tax, GAAP19.55bn21.73bn
Less: gains on investments(2.81)bn(2.92)bn
Income before tax, core20.25bn21.79bn
Net income, core, taxed at 19.9% and 19.1%16.23bn17.64bn
Less: preferred dividends(103)m(184)m
Diluted EPS, GAAP, $5.836.38
Diluted EPS, company non GAAP, $7.638.08
Diluted EPS, core, $5.535.94
Core earnings keep stock compensation as a cost ($4.81bn TTM). Tax uses the company non GAAP rate (Ex 99.1 of each quarter). Company non GAAP EPS excludes stock compensation and includes investment gains; excluding those gains it was $6.83 in FY2026 (release). Core EPS uses 2.91bn and 2.94bn shares.
Figure 2.2. Cash flow, capital spending, borrowings and leases
Table 2.4. Ratio analysis, FY2022 to FY2026 and TTM
RatioFY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY2026TTM
Growth and profitability
Revenue growthn/a17.7%6.0%8.4%17.3%21.6%
Cloud share of revenuen/an/a37.3%42.7%50.5%53.5%
Gross margin (proxy)79.1%72.8%71.4%70.5%65.8%64.0%
Operating margin25.7%26.2%29.0%30.8%30.6%32.1%
Core operating margin40.0%34.7%36.0%35.5%35.8%36.3%
Net margin15.8%17.0%19.8%21.7%25.4%26.4%
FCF margin11.8%17.0%22.3%(0.7%)(35.2%)(40.0%)
ROA6.1%7.0%7.6%8.0%7.9%7.8%
Cost structure
R&D / revenue17.0%17.3%16.8%17.2%15.3%14.2%
Sales and marketing / revenue19.0%17.7%15.6%15.1%12.4%11.3%
SBC / revenue6.2%7.1%7.5%8.1%7.1%6.7%
Depreciation / revenue4.6%5.1%5.9%6.7%11.3%13.1%
Capex / revenue10.6%17.4%13.0%37.0%82.6%105.4%
Balance sheet and working capital
PP&E / assets8.9%12.7%15.3%25.9%38.2%42.2%
Days sales outstanding515154545658
Current ratio1.62x0.91x0.72x0.75x1.12x1.17x
Leverage
Net debt / EBITDA2.85x4.04x3.43x3.36x3.08x2.49x
Net debt and leases / EBITDA3.04x4.28x3.77x4.03x4.27x3.72x
Interest coverage6.2x5.0x5.4x5.7x5.2x5.1x
Valuation
EV / sales at year end5.8x7.4x7.5x9.5x11.2x7.3x
EV / EBITDA at year end13.0x18.5x18.0x22.6x23.7x14.8x
P/E at year end29.8x34.5x31.6x38.1x38.7x22.3x
Oracle reports operating expenses by business in place of cost of revenue and gross profit. Gross margin (proxy) is revenue less the cloud and software, hardware and services expense lines of the income statement, as % of revenue. These lines include data center depreciation and exclude sales and marketing, R&D and general and administrative costs. Core operating margin and EBITDA add back amortization and restructuring. ROA uses average assets. Equity was negative or close to zero until FY2024, so ROE and debt to equity are left out. Year end valuation uses the 31 May close; TTM uses 5 Oct 2026. Prior TTM: Q2 FY2025 to Q1 FY2026.
Figure 2.3. Operating costs as % of revenue
Table 2.5. Balance sheet, period end
$FY2022FY2023FY2024FY2025FY202631 Aug 2026
Cash and marketable securities21.90bn10.19bn10.66bn11.20bn31.89bn37.08bn
Trade receivables5.95bn6.92bn7.87bn8.56bn10.39bn11.39bn
Property, plant and equipment9.72bn17.07bn21.54bn43.52bn99.96bn127.85bn
Goodwill43.81bn62.26bn62.23bn62.21bn62.26bn62.27bn
Total assets109.30bn134.38bn140.98bn168.36bn261.76bn303.26bn
Deferred revenue, current8.36bn8.97bn9.31bn9.39bn9.92bn14.69bn
Notes payable and other borrowings75.86bn90.48bn86.87bn92.57bn129.54bn125.34bn
Lease liabilities, operating and finance3.66bn4.85bn7.55bn16.38bn37.89bn43.81bn
Net debt, before leases53.96bn80.29bn76.21bn81.37bn97.65bn88.26bn
Preferred stock00004.95bn4.95bn
Oracle stockholders' equity(6.22)bn1.07bn8.70bn20.45bn42.51bn66.77bn
Shares outstanding, bn2.6652.7132.7552.8072.8803.024
Off balance sheet at 31 Aug 2026: $288bn of leases that start later, with terms of 15 to 19 years, and $34.15bn of purchase obligations. The $10.0bn revolving facility was undrawn at 31 May 2026.
Table 2.6. Capital raised and major uses, FY2026 and Q1 FY2027
DateTransactionAmount
Sep 2025Senior notes, six tranches due 2030 to 2065, 4.450% to 6.100%$18.0bn
Nov 2025Sale of the Ampere stake to SoftBank, cash received$4.3bn
Feb 2026Senior notes, eight tranches due 2029 to 2066, up to 6.850%$25.0bn
Feb 20266.50% Series D mandatory convertible preferred stock$5.0bn
Q1 FY2027Common stock sold at the market, about 141m shares$19.9bn net
FY2026 and Q1 FY2027Customer prepayments with a financing component$16.0bn
FY2026 and Q1 FY2027Capital expenditures$(84.2)bn
FY2026 and Q1 FY2027Dividends on common and preferred stock$(7.4)bn
FY2026 and Q1 FY2027Repayments of notes and other borrowings$(11.1)bn
Sources: 8-K 0001193125-25-220445, 0001193125-26-037840 and 0001193125-26-039344; 10-K 0001193125-26-277521; 10-Q 0001193125-26-389274. Oracle stated in Jun 2026 that calendar 2026 debt issuance is complete. Preferred stock pays $325m a year and converts on 15 Jan 2029 into 25.0m to 31.2m common shares (10-K); Q1 FY2027 diluted shares exclude it as antidilutive (10-Q).

3 MD&A, guidance and management commentary

Oracle guided Q2 FY2027 revenue growth to 30% to 34% and cloud revenue growth to 65% to 71%. It guided FY2027 revenue to at least $90bn, up 34%, and non GAAP EPS to $8.10. FY2027 revenue guidance was $90bn in Mar and Jun 2026; EPS guidance was $8.05 in Jun 2026.

Table 3.1. Recent quarters and guidance (earnings releases, Ex 99.1)
ItemQ2 FY2026Q3 FY2026Q4 FY2026Q1 FY2027Q2 FY2027 guide
Revenue$16.06bn$17.19bn$19.18bn$19.35bnabout $21.2bn
Revenue growth y/y14%22%21%30%30% to 34%
Cloud revenue growth y/y34%44%47%62%65% to 71%
Cloud infrastructure revenue$4.08bn$4.89bn$5.79bn$7.39bnn/a
Cloud infrastructure growth y/y68%84%93%121%n/a
Operating margin, GAAP / non GAAP29.5% / 41.9%31.8% / 42.9%32.0% / 44.8%34.8% / 42.1%n/a
Diluted EPS, GAAP / non GAAP$2.10 / 2.26$1.27 / 1.79$1.45 / 2.11$1.56 / 1.92non GAAP $1.85 to 1.93
RPO at quarter end$523bn$553bn$638bn$664bnn/a
Capital expenditures$12.03bn$18.64bn$16.49bn$28.50bnn/a
Free cash flow$(9.97)bn$(11.48)bn$(1.87)bn$(5.40)bnn/a
Sources: 8-K 0001193125-25-314207, 0001193125-26-100148, 0001193125-26-265848 and 0001193125-26-387905. Q2 FY2026 EPS includes the Ampere gain. Q2 FY2027 revenue applies the guidance midpoint.
  • MD&A, FY2026 10-K. Revenue rose 17% to $67.36bn. Cloud infrastructure supplied 84% of cloud growth in constant currency. Cloud and software expenses rose 56%, of which $5.7bn was infrastructure expense, and Oracle expects further increases over the next few fiscal years. Interest expense rose 29% to $4.60bn.
  • MD&A, Q1 FY2027 10-Q. RPO is recognized about 13% within 12 months, 37% in months 13 to 36 and 34% in months 37 to 60. Purchase obligations rose from $13.3bn to $34.15bn in the quarter. Oracle expects FY2027 capital spending above FY2026. Management added about $700m to the $2.1bn restructuring plan after quarter end.
  • Releases. Customers prepaid for or supplied the GPUs in most AI contracts signed in Q3 and Q4 FY2026; those portions total $75bn. Oracle booked more than $30bn of AI contracts in Q1 FY2027 and stated that they leave its funding plan unchanged. FY2027 funding plan is about $40bn, including the $20bn share sale completed in Q1.
  • Earnings call, 10 Sep 2026 (third party transcript; the capital spending figures appear only on the call). Management guided FY2027 capital spending of $90bn to $95bn, with net cash capital spending of at most $70bn. It expects about half of RPO to convert to revenue within 36 months. GPU utilization was 97.9% in Q1.
  • Earlier outlooks. The release of 9 Sep 2025 previewed cloud infrastructure revenue of $18bn in FY2026 (actual $18.10bn), then $32bn, $73bn, $114bn and $144bn. A company presentation of 16 Oct 2025 (company website) showed revenue of $85bn in FY2027 and $225bn in FY2030, and FY2030 non GAAP EPS of $21.00.

4 Sector and competitor analysis

Oracle's year to date revenue growth of 29.6% is above Alphabet (23.1%), Amazon (18.2%) and Microsoft (17.8%) and below CoreWeave (112.1%). Its capital spending of 105.4% of TTM revenue compares with 34.9% at Microsoft and 29.7% at Alphabet. Oracle carries net debt of 2.6x EBITDA; Microsoft and Alphabet hold net cash.

  • Cloud revenue. Oracle cloud infrastructure revenue was $7.39bn in its latest quarter, up 121%. Amazon Web Services reported $42.23bn for Q2 2026, up 37%, and Google Cloud $24.77bn, up 82%. Microsoft reported growth of 41% for Azure and other cloud services in its year to Jun 2026.
  • Backlog. Contracted backlog at the latest filing: Microsoft commercial RPO $678bn, Oracle $664bn, Alphabet $519.5bn, Amazon $496bn and CoreWeave $103.7bn. Oracle RPO is 9.3x its TTM revenue.
  • Capital spending. Microsoft spent $115.9bn in its year to Jun 2026. Alphabet spent $80.6bn and Amazon $98.4bn in H1 2026. Oracle spent $75.66bn TTM.
  • Applications. Oracle cloud applications revenue grew 10% in Q1 FY2027. Salesforce revenue grew 12.0% in its first half to Jul 2026. The 10-K names all six peers among competitors.
Table 4.1. Peer comparison, TTM to the latest 10-K or 10-Q; market data at 5 Oct 2026
CompanyYear endRevenueGrowth YTDOperating marginFCF marginCapex / revenueNet debt / EBITDAMarket cap, $P/E TTM
OracleFY May71.78bn29.6%32.1%(40.0%)105.4%2.6x431.9bn22.3x
MicrosoftFY Jun331.84bn17.8%46.8%20.2%34.9%(0.2x)3.90tn29.3x
AlphabetFY Dec445.87bn23.1%33.1%11.9%29.7%(0.8x)4.24tn17.4x
AmazonFY Dec775.68bn18.2%12.1%(1.5%)22.3%0.1x2.71tn20.2x
SalesforceFY Jan43.94bn12.0%19.9%34.5%1.4%2.2x189.1bn21.0x
CoreWeaveFY Dec7.59bn112.1%(3.0%)(179.9%)271.0%7.9x48.2bnn/a
IBMFY Dec69.10bn4.9%17.9%20.0%1.6%3.1x208.8bn19.6x
Growth compares the latest fiscal year to date with the prior year. P/E uses filed TTM diluted EPS; CoreWeave has a TTM loss. Negative net debt to EBITDA means net cash; EBITDA here is operating income plus depreciation and amortization. Microsoft TTM is its year to Jun 2026.
Figure 4.1. Revenue growth and capital spending, peers
Figure 4.2. Operating and FCF margin, peers

5 Material events and filings

From Sep 2025 to Sep 2026 Oracle appointed two CEOs and a CFO, issued $43bn of notes and $5.0bn of preferred stock, and sold $20bn of common stock. RPO rose from $138bn at 31 May 2025 to $664bn at 31 Aug 2026. Larry Ellison remains Executive Chair and Chief Technology Officer.

Table 5.1. FY2026 10-K items and Q1 FY2027 10-Q updates
ItemContent
Item 1, BusinessThree businesses: cloud and software (87% of FY2026 revenue), hardware (5%) and services (8%). About 181 data center locations, substantially all leased. R&D spending was $10.27bn.
Item 1A, Risk factorsFY2026 against FY2025: 55 new and 39 reworded paragraphs (own text comparison). New text covers data center overbuild, lease terms longer than customer contracts, customer credit, power supply, the preferred stock and share sale program, a credit rating downgrade and a securities class action filed on 3 Feb 2026.
Item 7, MD&AOperating cash flow was $31.98bn and capital spending $55.66bn. Debt principal due: $7.2bn in FY2027, $10.1bn in FY2028 and $90.3bn after FY2031.
Notes, leases and commitmentsLeases that start later: $260bn at 31 May 2026 and $288bn at 31 Aug 2026. One lease carries a guarantee of up to $3.3bn of lessor borrowing.
Item 9A, ControlsControls were effective at 31 May 2026; Ernst & Young is the auditor.
Q1 FY2027 10-QItem 1A refers to the 10-K risk factors unchanged. In the class action, a motion to dismiss is to be fully briefed by 18 Dec 2026.
10-K 0001193125-26-277521; 10-Q 0001193125-26-389274; risk factor comparison against 10-K 0000950170-25-087926.
Table 5.2. Selected Form 8-K events, Sep 2025 to Sep 2026
FiledItemsEvent
14 Sep 20268.01Larry Ellison cancelled his Rule 10b5-1 plan to sell up to 50m shares on 12 Sep 2026; zero shares were sold under it
10 Sep 20262.02, 8.01Q1 FY2027 results: revenue $19.35bn (+30%); RPO $664bn; $20bn share sale completed; FY2027 guidance of at least $90bn revenue
10 Jun 20262.02, 8.01Q4 and FY2026 results: FY2026 revenue $67.36bn (+17%); RPO $638bn; plan to raise about $40bn in FY2027
12 May 20265.02, 7.01Tomislav Mihaljevic elected to the Board from 6 May 2026; Board size 13
6 Apr 20265.02, 7.01Hilary Maxson appointed CFO from 6 Apr 2026, replacing Douglas Kehring as Principal Financial Officer; equity grant of $26m
10 Mar 20262.02, 8.01Q3 FY2026 results: revenue $17.19bn (+22%); RPO $553bn; FY2027 revenue guidance raised to $90bn
5 Feb 20261.01, 3.03, 5.03$5.0bn of 6.50% Series D mandatory convertible preferred stock issued
4 Feb 20261.01, 8.01$25bn of notes due 2029 to 2066 issued; agreement to sell up to $20bn of common stock at the market
9 Jan 20265.02Directors George Conrades and Naomi Seligman retired
10 Dec 20252.02, 8.01Q2 FY2026 results: revenue $16.06bn (+14%); RPO $523bn; $2.7bn gain on the Ampere stake
21 Nov 20255.02, 5.07Annual meeting: 13 directors elected; say on pay approved; Stephen Rusckowski joined the Board, raising its size to 14
26 Sep 20258.01$18bn of notes due 2030 to 2065 issued
22 Sep 20255.02, 7.01Clayton Magouyrk and Michael Sicilia appointed CEOs; Safra Catz became Executive Vice Chair; Douglas Kehring Principal Financial Officer; option grants of $250m and $100m
9 Sep 20252.02, 8.01Q1 FY2026 results: RPO $455bn (+359%); preview of cloud infrastructure revenue rising from $18bn in FY2026 to $144bn in FY2030
26 Form 8-K filings (including two 8-K/A) from Sep 2024 to Sep 2026; the Sources appendix lists all of them with accession numbers. The latest 8-K on EDGAR is dated 14 Sep 2026 (checked 6 Oct 2026).

6 Annual shareholder meeting, ownership and insider activity

Annual shareholder meeting, 18 Nov 2025

Shareholders elected all 13 directors and ratified the auditor. Say on pay received 81.9% support, up from 78.0% in 2024. Shares represented were 91.8% of the 2.85bn outstanding (computed). Next meeting is on 18 Nov 2026, with 3.03bn shares entitled to vote.

  • Board. Bruce Chizen had the lowest support, 76.1%, and Awo Ablo 83.9%. Stephen Rusckowski joined the Board in Nov 2025 and Tomislav Mihaljevic in May 2026. Two retired.
  • Pay. Reported FY2026 pay was $627.5m for Clayton Magouyrk and $256.6m for Michael Sicilia, almost all promotion option grants with an exercise price of $308.46. Larry Ellison's reported pay was $131.0m. CEO pay ratios were 6,623 to 1 and 2,709 to 1 (DEF 14A 0001193125-26-402816).
Table 6.1. Proposals and support (for as % of for plus against)
ProposalBoard view20252024Outcome
Say on payFor81.9%78.0%Approved
Ratify Ernst & YoungFor97.6%97.8%Approved
Climate risk report for retirement plans (shareholder, 2024)Againstn/a5.3%Rejected
Shareholder proposal access rights (shareholder, 2026)Againstn/an/aPending
Broker non votes: 265.7m in 2025. The 2026 proposal comes from the National Legal and Policy Center. Sources: 8-K 0001193125-25-291441 and 0001193125-24-260986; DEF 14A 0001193125-26-402816.
Table 6.2. Director elections, for as % of for plus withheld
Director20252024
Bruce R. Chizen76.1%79.9%
Awo Ablo83.9%99.1%
Michael J. Boskin91.3%92.2%
Jeffrey O. Henley92.0%97.1%
Jeffrey S. Berg92.2%80.1%
George H. Conrades92.3%89.6%
Naomi O. Seligman92.6%91.0%
Lawrence J. Ellison96.6%98.0%
Safra A. Catz97.3%96.5%
Charles W. Moorman97.8%94.2%
Clayton M. Magouyrk98.2%n/a
Michael D. Sicilia98.3%n/a
Rona A. Fairhead98.4%98.1%
n/a: first elected by shareholders in 2025.

Ownership and insider activity

Larry Ellison holds 1.16bn shares, 38.2% of the total, against 40.6% a year earlier on a lower share count. He has pledged 413m shares for personal loans, up from 346m. He adopted a plan to sell up to 50m shares on 22 Jun 2026 and cancelled it on 12 Sep 2026 with zero shares sold. Other insiders sold $119.1m of stock and bought $3.48m in the twelve months to Oct 2026 (Form 4).

Table 6.3. Largest holders, shares m (Form 13F unless stated)
Holder30 Jun 2026% of shares31 Mar 202631 Dec 2025Change since Dec 2025
Larry Ellison (proxy, 21 Sep 2026)1.16bn38.2%n/an/an/a
Vanguard169.15.9%167.9174.8(3.3%)
BlackRock145.45.0%n/a147.9(1.7%)
State Street78.62.7%76.376.52.8%
Capital Research Global Investors39.71.4%32.130.131.9%
Geode Capital Management39.21.4%38.937.74.0%
Morgan Stanley30.61.1%29.127.112.6%
FMR26.00.9%22.929.3(11.1%)
Norges Bank25.00.9%n/a22.212.4%
Bank of America24.00.8%15.415.851.3%
JPMorgan Chase22.90.8%32.541.2(44.4%)
13F % of shares uses 2.88bn shares at Jun 2026, before the share sale; the Ellison row uses 3.03bn at 21 Sep 2026. n/a: 13F filing for that date was unavailable. 13F holders selected from 30 large managers. Vanguard reports through two entities since 2026 and filed an exit Schedule 13G/A on 27 Mar 2026.
Table 6.4. Insider transactions, Oct 2025 to Oct 2026, $m (Form 4)
InsiderRoleTransactionAmount
Stephen RusckowskiDirectorPurchase, 29 Sep 2026 at $139.353.48
Jeffrey HenleyExecutive Vice ChairOption exercise and sale, 24 Jun 2026, plan(63.66)
Clayton MagouyrkCEOSales, Oct 2025 to Feb 2026(14.54)
Jeffrey BergDirectorSales, 28 Oct 2025(13.97)
Stuart LeveyChief Legal OfficerSales, plan(8.57)
Douglas KehringPrincipal Financial Officer to Apr 2026Sale, 15 Jan 2026, plan(6.82)
Michael SiciliaCEOSales, Sep 2026, plan(4.94)
48 Form 4 and 5 Form 3 filings. Sales under Rule 10b5-1 plans: $84.0m. Shares withheld for tax on vesting: $39.7m. 16 Forms 144 covered $123.5m of proposed sales.

7 Share price and valuation history

EV to sales was 11.2x at the 29 May 2026 close of $225.78. It is now 7.3x TTM revenue and 5.8x guided FY2027 revenue of $90bn. Market capitalization is $432bn on 3.03bn shares and enterprise value $526bn, or $569bn with lease liabilities. Closing prices over 52 weeks ranged from $114.99 (24 Jul 2026) to $313.00 (16 Oct 2025).

Figure 7.1. Monthly share price Nov 2022 to Oct 2026
Table 7.1. Fiscal year end valuation (31 May close)
Fiscal yearMarket cap, $bnPrice, $Diluted EPS, $P/EEV / salesEV / EBITDA
FY2219271.922.4129.8x5.8x13.0x
FY23287105.943.0734.5x7.4x18.5x
FY24323117.193.7131.6x7.5x18.0x
FY25465165.534.3438.1x9.5x22.6x
FY26650225.785.8338.7x11.2x23.7x
5 Oct 2026432142.486.38 TTM22.3x7.3x14.8x
EV = market cap plus borrowings, preferred stock and noncontrolling interests less cash and marketable securities. Year end prices are the closes tagged in each 10-K. The last row uses 3.03bn shares. Dividend: $0.50 a quarter.

8 Forward scenarios, FY2028 to FY2030

Scenarios start from FY2027 guidance of $90bn revenue and the backlog schedule in the Q1 FY2027 10-Q. FY2030 core EPS is $4.17 (worst), $10.36 (base) and $15.75 (best), against $6.90 for FY2027 on a core basis. Implied values per share at end FY2030 are $58, $207 and $409.

Table 8.1. Scenario assumptions, FY2028 to FY2030
DriverWorstBaseBest
Scheduled backlog step up delivered75%100%100%
New contracts signed a quarter after Aug 2026, $bn03052
Cloud infrastructure revenue FY2028 / FY2029 / FY2030, $bn60 / 67 / 6167 / 94 / 11067 / 107 / 141
Other revenue growth a year0%2%4%
Core operating margin FY2028 / FY2029 / FY203030% / 27% / 25%33% / 32% / 32%35% / 36% / 37%
Diluted share count increase a year3.0%2.0%1.5%
Exit P/E on FY2030 core EPS14x20x26x
Common to allFY2027 base year from guidance of 10 Sep 2026: revenue $90.0bn and non GAAP EPS $8.10. With a 19% tax rate, 3.05bn average diluted shares, net interest of $4.5bn (Q1 annualized) and preferred dividends of $325m, this implies non GAAP operating income of $35.4bn (39.3%) and core operating income of $30.9bn (34.3%) after $4.5bn of stock compensation. Other revenue of $50.9bn grows at the Q1 rate of 3.3%; implied cloud infrastructure revenue is $39.1bn. Backlog schedule (10-Q): $86bn in the 12 months to Aug 2027, $246bn in the next 24 months and $226bn in the 24 months after. Spread evenly and mapped to fiscal years, this is $114bn, $123bn and $115bn for FY2028 to FY2030. The step up above $86bn is added to cloud infrastructure revenue. New contracts are recognized over five years from the second fiscal year after signing. Net interest rises by $2.0bn a year. Preferred stock converts on 15 Jan 2029 into 31.2m shares, the maximum rate. All inputs in this table are assumptions of this analysis.
Table 8.2. Scenario outputs
OutputWorstBaseBest
Revenue FY2030, $bn111.8164.2198.6
Revenue CAGR FY2027 to FY20307.5%22.2%30.2%
Core operating income FY2030, $bn27.952.573.5
Core EPS FY2028, $6.748.339.08
Core EPS FY2030, $4.1710.3615.75
Core EPS CAGR FY2027 to FY2030(15.5%)14.5%31.6%
Implied value end FY2030, $ per share58207409
Change against $142.48(59%)45%187%
Annualized, to end FY2030(21.7%)10.8%33.5%
Figure 8.1. Scenario EPS paths and implied values

Critical factors behind the best case

Table 8.3. Best case drivers: evidence to date and requirement
FactorEvidence in filings and company materialsBest case requirement
Backlog conversionRPO $664bn; 13% due within 12 months and 37% in months 13 to 36, about $246bn (10-Q)RPO converts on the 10-Q schedule
New contractsRPO rose $209bn in four quarters, $52bn a quarter; more than $30bn of AI contracts booked in Q1 FY2027 (release)New contracts of $52bn a quarter, delivered from the second year after signing
Capacity delivery850 MW delivered in Q1 FY2027; $288bn of data center leases start by FY2029; the 10-K cites power, permits and component supply as constraintsSites, power and GPUs arrive on time
Customer credit10-K: some customers may be highly leveraged; prepaid or customer supplied hardware covers $75bn of contractsLarge AI customers pay as contracted
MarginCloud and software segment margin 55% in Q1 FY2027 against 60%; core operating margin 36.3% TTMCore margin rises to 37% by FY2030
FundingBorrowings $125.34bn; FY2027 capital spending $90bn to $95bn (earnings call); $20bn of shares sold in Q1 FY2027Spending is funded with share count growth of 1.5% a year
Valuation multipleP/E 20.6x FY2027 core EPS and 17.6x non GAAP guidanceExit P/E 26x on FY2030 core EPS

Core assumptions and demand drivers

  • Demand. Worst case holds cloud infrastructure revenue to the backlog signed by 31 Aug 2026 and delivers 75% of its scheduled step up, as capacity or customer payments arrive late. Base case delivers the schedule and adds $30bn of new contracts a quarter, the Q1 FY2027 level of AI bookings. Best case adds $52bn a quarter, the average RPO increase over four quarters. Base revenue for FY2028 and FY2029 totals $265bn, against about $246bn of RPO due in months 13 to 36.
  • Reference points. The release of 9 Sep 2025 previewed cloud infrastructure revenue of $73bn, $114bn and $144bn for FY2028 to FY2030, when RPO was $455bn. The base case uses $67bn, $94bn and $110bn. The company presentation of 16 Oct 2025 showed FY2030 revenue of $225bn and non GAAP EPS of $21.00; the best case gives $199bn and core EPS of $15.75.
  • Margin. Core margin counts stock compensation (6.7% of TTM revenue) and depreciation (13.1%) as costs. FY2027 guidance implies 34.3%, against 36.3% TTM.
  • Funding and per share. Net interest rises by $2.0bn a year, the annualized Q1 FY2027 increase in interest expense ($505m). This equals about $37bn of added borrowings and finance leases at 5.5%; in FY2026 borrowings rose $37.0bn and lease liabilities $21.5bn. Base share count rises 2% a year; shares outstanding rose 2.6% in FY2026 and 5.0% in Q1 FY2027.
  • Multiple. Exit P/E of 14x, 20x and 26x compares with 20.6x FY2027 core EPS at the current price and 29.8x to 38.7x GAAP EPS at the last five fiscal year ends.
  • Excluded. Acquisitions, impairments, gains on investments, a dividend change and share issues beyond the stated share count growth and the preferred stock conversion.

9 Sensitivity analysis

19 of the 25 combinations in Figure 9.1 exceed $142.48. Values range from $85 at a 12x exit P/E and a 24% margin to $381 at 28x and 40%. At a 20x exit P/E, value exceeds the current price in 20 of the 25 cells of Table 9.1.

Figure 9.1. Sensitivity of value to exit P/E and margin
Figure 9.2. One driver sensitivity
Table 9.1. Value per share, end FY2030, by new contracts signed a quarter and core margin, 20x exit P/E
Margin \ New contracts a quarter$0bn$15bn$30bn$45bn$60bn
24%93117142167192
28%117146175204233
32%141174207240273
36%165202239277314
40%189230272313355
Base case: $30bn a quarter and a 32% margin. Backlog signed by 31 Aug 2026 is delivered on schedule in every cell. Shaded cells exceed $142.48: 20 of 25.

Other sensitivities

  • Interest. Each $10bn of added borrowings at 5.5% costs $0.55bn a year before tax, about $0.15 of EPS (computed).
  • Leases. Operating lease payments are part of operating costs. The $288bn of leases that start by FY2029 run for 15 to 19 years, about $17bn a year at a 17 year term (computed).
  • Preferred stock. Conversion on 15 Jan 2029 adds 25.0m shares at a share price of $200.07 or more and 31.2m at $160.06 or less (computed from the 10-K rates), 0.8% to 1.0% of the share count.
  • Currency. A 10% fall in foreign exchange rates would reduce revenue by $2.8bn (10-K, Item 7A).

Appendix: method, sources and definitions

  • Data. Financial statements from XBRL in the 10-K for FY2022 to FY2026 and 10-Q filings for Q1 FY2025 to Q1 FY2027, retrieved through the SEC-API.io MCP server. Q4 equals full year less the first nine months; quarterly cash flows are derived from year to date statements.
  • Other sources. Earnings call of 10 Sep 2026 from a third party transcript; releases from 8-K exhibits 99.1; company presentation of 16 Oct 2025 from the company website. Peer data from peer filings. Market prices: 5 Oct 2026.
  • Definitions. FCF = operating cash flow less capital expenditures. Core operating income = GAAP operating income plus amortization of intangible assets and restructuring and other; stock compensation stays a cost. Core earnings also exclude gains on investments and deduct preferred dividends.
  • Scenario model. Revenue = cloud infrastructure revenue plus other revenue. Cloud infrastructure revenue = FY2027 level plus the delivered step up in scheduled backlog revenue plus revenue from new contracts. EPS = ((revenue x core margin less net interest) x (1 less 19%) less preferred dividends) over diluted shares. Implied value = FY2030 EPS x exit P/E, undiscounted.

Sources

Table A.1. Annual, quarterly and proxy filings (central index key 1341439)
FormPeriod or eventAccession number
10-KFY20220001564590-22-023675
10-KFY20230000950170-23-028914
10-KFY20240000950170-24-075605
10-KFY20250000950170-25-087926
10-KFY20260001193125-26-277521
10-QQ1 FY20250000950170-24-104905
10-QQ2 FY20250000950170-24-134973
10-QQ3 FY20250000950170-25-037143
10-QQ1 FY20260001193125-25-200095
10-QQ2 FY20260001193125-25-315925
10-QQ3 FY20260001193125-26-101045
10-QQ1 FY20270001193125-26-389274
DEF 14A2026 proxy statement0001193125-26-402816
DEF 14A2025 proxy statement0001193125-25-220801
Table A.2. Forms 8-K
FormPeriod or eventAccession number
8-K14 Sep 2026, items 8.01, 9.010001193125-26-389753
8-K10 Sep 2026, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010001193125-26-387905
8-K10 Jun 2026, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010001193125-26-265848
8-K12 May 2026, items 5.02, 7.01, 9.010001193125-26-219708
8-K6 Apr 2026, items 5.02, 7.01, 9.010001193125-26-142939
8-K10 Mar 2026, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010001193125-26-100148
8-K5 Feb 2026, items 1.01, 3.03, 5.03, 9.010001193125-26-039344
8-K4 Feb 2026, items 1.01, 8.01, 9.010001193125-26-037840
8-K9 Jan 2026, items 5.020001193125-26-009002
8-K10 Dec 2025, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010001193125-25-314207
8-K21 Nov 2025, items 5.02, 5.07, 9.010001193125-25-291441
8-K/A6 Oct 2025, items 5.020001193125-25-231901
8-K26 Sep 2025, items 8.01, 9.010001193125-25-220445
8-K22 Sep 2025, items 5.02, 7.01, 9.010001193125-25-210089
8-K9 Sep 2025, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010001193125-25-199175
8-K30 Jun 2025, items 7.010001193125-25-152035
8-K11 Jun 2025, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010000950170-25-084831
8-K10 Mar 2025, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010000950170-25-036295
8-K/A26 Feb 2025, items 5.020001193125-25-036873
8-K3 Feb 2025, items 8.01, 9.010001193125-25-019281
8-K22 Jan 2025, items 8.010001193125-25-010390
8-K13 Jan 2025, items 5.020001193125-25-005333
8-K9 Dec 2024, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010000950170-24-134537
8-K18 Nov 2024, items 5.070001193125-24-260986
8-K27 Sep 2024, items 8.01, 9.010001193125-24-227971
8-K9 Sep 2024, items 2.02, 8.01, 9.010000950170-24-104753
Table A.3. Schedule 13G
FormPeriod or eventAccession number
SC 13G/AThe Vanguard Group, 2026-03-270000102909-26-001995
Table A.4. Forms 13F
FormPeriod or eventAccession number
13F-HRVanguard Capital Management Llc, period 2026-06-300002100119-26-001527
13F-HRVanguard Portfolio Management Llc, period 2026-06-300002100121-26-001018
13F-HR/AVanguard Capital Management Llc, period 2026-03-310002100119-26-001311
13F-HRVanguard Portfolio Management Llc, period 2026-03-310002100121-26-000861
13F-HRVanguard Group Inc, period 2025-12-310000102909-26-000031
13F-HRVanguard Group Inc, period 2025-09-300000102909-25-000353
13F-HRBlackrock, Inc., period 2026-06-300002012383-26-003238
13F-HRBlackrock, Inc., period 2025-12-310002012383-26-000920
13F-HRBlackrock, Inc., period 2025-09-300002012383-25-002949
13F-HR/AState Street Corp, period 2026-06-300000093751-26-000583
13F-HRState Street Corp, period 2026-03-310000093751-26-000315
13F-HRState Street Corp, period 2025-12-310000093751-26-000100
13F-HRState Street Corp, period 2025-09-300000093751-25-000651
13F-HRCapital Research Global Investors, period 2026-06-300001422848-26-000094
13F-HRCapital Research Global Investors, period 2026-03-310001422848-26-000041
13F-HRCapital Research Global Investors, period 2025-12-310001422848-26-000005
13F-HRCapital Research Global Investors, period 2025-09-300001422848-25-000223
13F-HRGeode Capital Management, Llc, period 2026-06-300001214717-26-000008
13F-HRGeode Capital Management, Llc, period 2026-03-310001214717-26-000006
13F-HRGeode Capital Management, Llc, period 2025-12-310001214717-26-000003
13F-HRGeode Capital Management, Llc, period 2025-09-300001214717-25-000016
13F-HRMorgan Stanley, period 2026-06-300000895421-26-000243
13F-HRMorgan Stanley, period 2026-03-310000895421-26-000183
13F-HR/AMorgan Stanley, period 2025-12-310000895421-26-000187
13F-HR/AMorgan Stanley, period 2025-09-300000895421-26-000186
13F-HRFmr Llc, period 2026-06-300000315066-26-002260
13F-HRFmr Llc, period 2026-03-310000315066-26-001390
13F-HRFmr Llc, period 2025-12-310000315066-26-000611
13F-HRFmr Llc, period 2025-09-300000315066-25-002929
13F-HRNorges Bank, period 2026-06-300001374170-26-000069
13F-HRNorges Bank, period 2025-12-310001374170-26-000012
13F-HRBank Of America Corp /De/, period 2026-06-300000070858-26-000442
13F-HRBank Of America Corp /De/, period 2026-03-310000070858-26-000315
13F-HRBank Of America Corp /De/, period 2025-12-310000070858-26-000116
13F-HR/ABank Of America Corp /De/, period 2025-09-300000070858-26-000025
13F-HRJpmorgan Chase & Co, period 2026-06-300000019617-26-000325
13F-HR/AJpmorgan Chase & Co, period 2026-03-310000019617-26-000225
13F-HRJpmorgan Chase & Co, period 2025-12-310000019617-26-000083
13F-HR/AJpmorgan Chase & Co, period 2025-09-300000019617-25-001093
Forms 4, Oct 2025 to Oct 2026 (48 accession numbers with reported transactions): 0001341439-25-000049, 0001341439-25-000052, 0001341439-25-000053, 0001341439-25-000061, 0001341439-25-000062, 0001341439-25-000063, 0001341439-25-000064, 0001341439-25-000065, 0001341439-25-000066, 0001341439-25-000068, 0001341439-25-000072, 0001341439-25-000078, 0001341439-25-000080, 0001341439-25-000086, 0001341439-25-000087, 0001341439-25-000088, 0001341439-25-000090, 0001341439-26-000004, 0001341439-26-000006, 0001341439-26-000010, 0001341439-26-000018, 0001341439-26-000025, 0001341439-26-000027, 0001341439-26-000029, 0001341439-26-000034, 0001341439-26-000040, 0001341439-26-000042, 0001341439-26-000044, 0001341439-26-000046, 0001341439-26-000048, 0001341439-26-000050, 0001341439-26-000052, 0001341439-26-000054, 0001341439-26-000064, 0001341439-26-000066, 0001341439-26-000079, 0001341439-26-000080, 0001341439-26-000081, 0001341439-26-000082, 0001341439-26-000083, 0001341439-26-000084, 0001341439-26-000086, 0001341439-26-000088, 0001341439-26-000090, 0001341439-26-000092, 0001341439-26-000094, 0001341439-26-000096, 0001341439-26-000099.
Table A.5. Peer filings used
CompanyFilingAccession number
MicrosoftFY2026 10-K0001193125-26-323660
AlphabetFY2025 10-K0001652044-26-000018
AlphabetQ2 2026 10-Q0001652044-26-000071
AmazonFY2025 10-K0001018724-26-000004
AmazonQ2 2026 10-Q0001018724-26-000026
SalesforceFY2026 10-K0001108524-26-000060
SalesforceQ2 FY2027 10-Q0001108524-26-000190
CoreWeaveFY2025 10-K0001769628-26-000104
CoreWeaveQ2 2026 10-Q0001769628-26-000366
IBMFY2025 10-K0000051143-26-000010
IBMQ2 2026 10-Q0000051143-26-000078
Disclaimer: for information only, not financial advice. This report is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Figures come from SEC filings retrieved through the SEC-API.io MCP server and from sources named above. Scenario values follow arithmetically from the stated assumptions. Consult a licensed adviser before investing.